مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Luzern v FC Winterthur

البداية: 2026-03-15 15:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Luzern (المضيف)

التنبؤ 71.20%1.40السعر العادل
EV -5.31%
الأفضلية -3.99%
Kelly -16.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
68.66%71.23%71.04%73.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.181.291.301.3384.75%77.36%76.92%75.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Winterthur (الضيف)

التنبؤ 12.66%7.90السعر العادل
EV +10.80%
الأفضلية +1.23%
Kelly +1.39%
النمو +0.151%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.88%12.70%12.77%14.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.007.277.508.7516.67%13.75%13.33%11.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 16.14%6.20السعر العادل
EV +4.90%
الأفضلية +0.754%
Kelly +0.891%
النمو +0.044%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.84%16.08%16.19%19.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.555.506.5022.22%18.02%18.18%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV +10.80%E +1.23%K +1.39%G +0.151%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -3.17%E -0.529%K -0.634%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 15:15
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.45%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.63%EV +1.94%E +0.241%K +0.275%G +0.005%5.53I 18.08%NM 16.93%EV -10.76%E -1.95%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 15:25
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.10%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%EV +1.31%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.84%EV +4.90%E +0.754%K +0.891%G +0.044%3.6%2026-03-15 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.10%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%EV +1.31%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.84%EV +4.90%E +0.754%K +0.891%G +0.044%3.6%2026-03-15 14:55
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 72.62%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV +1.31%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV -4.78%E -0.811%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 12:35
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV +1.31%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +1.31%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:10
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.28%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.25%EV -0.593%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.48%EV +0.218%E +0.035%K +0.042%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 15:20
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.96%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.66%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.97%EV -1.23%E -0.157%K -0.180%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.06%EV +0.057%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 14:15
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.80%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.97%EV -1.23%E -0.157%K -0.180%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:20
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.14%EV -9.58%E -7.54%K -35.47%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.66%EV -1.86%E -0.240%K -0.275%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.21%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 15:15
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.17%E -0.529%K -0.634%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 14:55
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -8.15%E -6.32%K -28.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 15:19
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 70.65%EV -8.15%E -6.32%K -28.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -14.47%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 12:20
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 15:25
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.00%E -8.80%K -44.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 15:20
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.00%E -8.80%K -44.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -5.02%E -0.670%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 15:20
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.51%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.81%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -6.29%E -0.850%K -0.983%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.17%E -0.529%K -0.634%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 15:20
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 70.52%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.81%G +0.000%7.38I 13.55%NM 12.61%EV -6.54%E -0.887%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 16.86%EV -10.92%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:20
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.68%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.19%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 12:20
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 71.31%EV -8.15%E -6.32%K -28.12%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV -8.19%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:25
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 70.70%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.05%EV -10.09%E -1.42%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.25%EV -8.01%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 15:20
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 70.70%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.05%EV -10.09%E -1.42%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.25%EV -8.01%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 15:20
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:20
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 70.83%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:25
Bovada1.30I 76.92%NM 70.53%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -9.63%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 15:19
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 70.99%EV -8.15%E -6.32%K -28.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 07:50
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 07:50
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 08:10
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 08:10
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 07:50
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 05:49
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 70.64%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 15:19
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.15%E -6.32%K -28.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -11.00%E -8.80%K -44.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -11.36%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -27.38%E -6.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-15 15:20
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 70.71%EV -12.43%E -10.10%K -54.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.88%EV -14.52%E -2.15%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.41%EV -14.47%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-15 15:20
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 71.11%EV -15.99%E -13.55%K -88.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.43%EV -14.52%E -2.15%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.45%EV -17.70%E -3.47%K -4.32%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-15 15:25
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.05%EV -9.58%E -7.54%K -35.47%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.48%EV -16.42%E -2.49%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.47%EV -12.85%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 15:21
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.57%EV -8.15%E -6.32%K -28.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -17.69%E -2.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.43%EV -4.78%E -0.811%K -0.977%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:20
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.69%E -2.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 07:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.69%E -2.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.69%E -2.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 07:50
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.44%E -5.72%K -24.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.69%E -2.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 07:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.69%EV -9.58%E -7.54%K -35.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.62%EV -17.69%E -2.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -14.47%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 15:20
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 68.99%EV -8.15%E -6.32%K -28.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -24.02%E -4.00%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.32%EV -9.58%E -7.54%K -35.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -24.02%E -4.00%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -11.24%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-15 15:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.30%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-03-15 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.30%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-03-15 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.30%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-03-15 15:15
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 73.11%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%1.3%2026-03-15 15:10
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 73.08%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.13%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79%2.1%2026-03-15 15:25