L’École des cotes

FC Luzern v FC Basel

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Luzern (Local)

Prévision 41.18%2.43cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -2.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.76%41.12%41.19%41.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.222.202.3450.00%45.09%45.45%42.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Basel (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.81%2.96cote équitable
EV -0.251%
Avantage -0.085%
Kelly -0.129%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.62%33.86%33.78%35.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.712.752.9540.00%36.87%36.36%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.01%4.00cote équitable
EV -3.73%
Avantage -0.968%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.16%25.02%25.02%26.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.643.653.8530.77%27.44%27.40%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.30%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.21%EV -1.60%E -0.551%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.50%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 15:25
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.23%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.70%EV -0.251%E -0.085%K -0.129%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 14:59
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.23%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.70%EV -0.251%E -0.085%K -0.129%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 15:05
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 40.97%EV -4.87%E -2.11%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 14:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -5.28%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -3.73%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 14:59
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.28%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 15:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.28%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 15:20
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -5.28%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -13.78%E -5.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 15:20
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 41.18%EV -5.70%E -2.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.80%EV -5.66%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.02%EV -5.73%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 15:20
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.60%EV -6.11%E -2.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -8.03%E -2.95%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 14:59
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.60%EV -6.11%E -2.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -8.03%E -2.95%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 14:59
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.13%EV -6.52%E -2.87%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.71%EV -6.34%E -2.29%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.17%EV -7.23%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 15:24
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 15:05
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 15:19
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.62%EV -3.29%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 15:19
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 15:04
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 14:59
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:19
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:20
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:19
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:20
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:20
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 14:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 15:00
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 15:20
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 41.19%EV -7.76%E -3.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 15:19
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 41.19%EV -7.76%E -3.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 15:20
BetAnything2.24I 44.64%NM 41.19%EV -7.76%E -3.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 15:19
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 14:59
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 15:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 15:20
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:04
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:05
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-22 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-22 15:05
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 14:59
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:44
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:44
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:44
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:44
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.95%EV -10.64%E -4.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.10%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 14:44
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.15%EV -10.64%E -4.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 15:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.23%EV -11.46%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.45%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-22 15:05
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.84%EV -11.46%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.43%EV -13.78%E -5.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-22 14:59
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.37%EV -13.52%E -6.44%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.81%EV -13.10%E -5.10%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-22 15:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.22%EV -13.52%E -6.44%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.79%EV -15.47%E -6.19%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -18.73%E -5.76%K -8.32%G +0.000%18.4%2026-02-22 15:25
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 41.57%EV -15.58%E -7.60%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.09%EV -15.47%E -6.19%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.35%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%17.4%2026-02-22 15:04
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.56%EV -17.64%E -8.82%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -15.47%E -6.19%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -17.48%E -5.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%20.3%2026-02-22 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.68%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-02-22 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.68%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-02-22 15:20
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-02-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-02-22 15:20
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.57%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%1.9%2026-02-22 15:20