مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Luzern v FC Basel

البداية: 2026-02-22 15:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Luzern (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.18%2.43السعر العادل
EV -3.64%
الأفضلية -1.55%
Kelly -2.71%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.34

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.76%41.12%41.19%41.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.222.202.3450.00%45.09%45.45%42.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Basel (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.81%2.96السعر العادل
EV -0.251%
الأفضلية -0.085%
Kelly -0.129%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.62%33.86%33.78%35.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.712.752.9540.00%36.87%36.36%33.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.01%4.00السعر العادل
EV -3.73%
الأفضلية -0.968%
Kelly -1.31%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.16%25.02%25.02%26.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.643.653.8530.77%27.44%27.40%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.30%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.21%EV -1.60%E -0.551%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.50%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 15:25
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.23%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.70%EV -0.251%E -0.085%K -0.129%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 14:59
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.23%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.70%EV -0.251%E -0.085%K -0.129%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 15:05
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 40.97%EV -4.87%E -2.11%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 14:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -5.28%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -3.73%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 14:59
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.28%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 15:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.28%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 15:20
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -5.28%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -13.78%E -5.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 15:20
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 41.18%EV -5.70%E -2.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.80%EV -5.66%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.02%EV -5.73%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 15:20
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.60%EV -6.11%E -2.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -8.03%E -2.95%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 14:59
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.60%EV -6.11%E -2.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -8.03%E -2.95%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 14:59
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.13%EV -6.52%E -2.87%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.71%EV -6.34%E -2.29%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.17%EV -7.23%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 15:24
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 15:05
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 15:19
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.62%EV -3.29%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 15:19
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 15:04
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 14:59
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:19
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:20
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:19
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:20
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:20
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 14:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 15:00
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 15:20
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 41.19%EV -7.76%E -3.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 15:19
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 41.19%EV -7.76%E -3.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 15:20
BetAnything2.24I 44.64%NM 41.19%EV -7.76%E -3.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 15:19
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 14:59
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 15:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 15:20
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:04
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:05
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-22 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-22 15:05
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 14:59
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:44
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:44
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:44
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:44
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.95%EV -10.64%E -4.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.10%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 14:44
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.15%EV -10.64%E -4.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 15:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.23%EV -11.46%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.45%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-22 15:05
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.84%EV -11.46%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.43%EV -13.78%E -5.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-22 14:59
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.37%EV -13.52%E -6.44%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.81%EV -13.10%E -5.10%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-22 15:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.22%EV -13.52%E -6.44%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.79%EV -15.47%E -6.19%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -18.73%E -5.76%K -8.32%G +0.000%18.4%2026-02-22 15:25
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 41.57%EV -15.58%E -7.60%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.09%EV -15.47%E -6.19%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.35%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%17.4%2026-02-22 15:04
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.56%EV -17.64%E -8.82%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -15.47%E -6.19%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -17.48%E -5.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%20.3%2026-02-22 15:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.68%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-02-22 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.68%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-02-22 15:20
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-02-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-02-22 15:20
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.57%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%1.9%2026-02-22 15:20