La escuela de los momios

FC Luzern v FC Basel

Inicio: 2026-02-22 15:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Luzern (Local)

Predicción 41.18%2.43momio equitativo
EV -3.64%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -2.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.76%41.12%41.19%41.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.222.202.3450.00%45.09%45.45%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Basel (Visitante)

Predicción 33.81%2.96momio equitativo
EV -0.251%
Ventaja -0.085%
Kelly -0.129%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.62%33.86%33.78%35.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.712.752.9540.00%36.87%36.36%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.01%4.00momio equitativo
EV -3.73%
Ventaja -0.968%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.16%25.02%25.02%26.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.643.653.8530.77%27.44%27.40%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.30%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.21%EV -1.60%E -0.551%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.50%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 15:25
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.23%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.70%EV -0.251%E -0.085%K -0.129%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 14:59
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.23%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.70%EV -0.251%E -0.085%K -0.129%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 15:05
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 40.97%EV -4.87%E -2.11%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 14:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -5.28%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -3.73%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 14:59
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.28%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 15:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.28%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 15:20
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -5.28%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -13.78%E -5.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 15:20
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 41.18%EV -5.70%E -2.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.80%EV -5.66%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.02%EV -5.73%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 15:20
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.60%EV -6.11%E -2.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -8.03%E -2.95%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 14:59
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.60%EV -6.11%E -2.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -8.03%E -2.95%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 14:59
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.13%EV -6.52%E -2.87%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.71%EV -6.34%E -2.29%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.17%EV -7.23%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 15:24
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -3.63%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 15:05
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 15:19
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.62%EV -3.29%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 15:19
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 15:04
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 14:59
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:19
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:20
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:19
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:20
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:20
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 14:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 15:00
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 15:20
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 41.19%EV -7.76%E -3.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 15:19
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 41.19%EV -7.76%E -3.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 15:20
BetAnything2.24I 44.64%NM 41.19%EV -7.76%E -3.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 15:19
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 14:59
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 15:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 15:20
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:04
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 15:05
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-22 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.41%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-22 15:05
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 14:59
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:44
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:44
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:44
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:44
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -10.23%E -4.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 14:45
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.95%EV -10.64%E -4.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.10%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 14:44
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.15%EV -10.64%E -4.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 15:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.23%EV -11.46%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.45%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-22 15:05
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.84%EV -11.46%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.43%EV -13.78%E -5.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-22 14:59
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.37%EV -13.52%E -6.44%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.81%EV -13.10%E -5.10%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-22 15:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.22%EV -13.52%E -6.44%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.79%EV -15.47%E -6.19%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -18.73%E -5.76%K -8.32%G +0.000%18.4%2026-02-22 15:25
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 41.57%EV -15.58%E -7.60%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.09%EV -15.47%E -6.19%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.35%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%17.4%2026-02-22 15:04
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.56%EV -17.64%E -8.82%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -15.47%E -6.19%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -17.48%E -5.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%20.3%2026-02-22 15:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.68%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-02-22 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.68%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-02-22 15:20
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-02-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-02-22 15:20
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.57%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%1.9%2026-02-22 15:20