A Escola das Odds

FC Lugano v FC Luzern

Início: 2026-03-07 19:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Lugano (Local)

Previsão 43.96%2.27odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -1.29%
Kelly -2.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.35%44.08%43.96%46.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.062.052.2152.63%48.61%48.78%45.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Luzern (Visitante)

Previsão 29.92%3.34odd justa
EV +0.221%
Vantagem +0.066%
Kelly +0.094%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.34%29.79%29.92%31.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.123.103.3535.71%32.02%32.26%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.12%3.83odd justa
EV -2.05%
Vantagem -0.546%
Kelly -0.744%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.04%26.14%26.12%28.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.483.503.7533.33%28.70%28.57%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -12.95%E -6.54%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:09
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:10
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:10
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:10
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -0.677%E -0.204%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:04
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -0.677%E -0.204%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:04
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.27%E -0.386%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -13.83%E -7.06%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -1.27%E -0.386%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 19:10
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -2.77%E -0.853%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.744%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:05
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.30%EV -6.36%E -2.99%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.27%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:10
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.27%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:39
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.27%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:12
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.75%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.40%EV -4.86%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.85%EV -2.31%E -0.617%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:25
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 43.74%EV -5.04%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.09%EV -6.06%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.17%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:24
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.78%EV -6.36%E -2.99%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -6.66%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -7.53%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:10
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.24%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:25
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 19:09
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -8.56%E -4.11%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:05
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -8.56%E -4.11%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:05
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 18:09
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 19:14
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -7.56%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.05%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:14
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -8.75%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:04
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -8.75%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 19:05
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.744%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:14
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 19:15
BetAnything2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 19:15
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:05
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:19
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:19
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:20
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:20
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 19:08
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 19:15
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 14:39
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 14:40
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 14:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.47%EV -12.52%E -6.29%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 19:05
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -11.75%E -3.98%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:15
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 43.90%EV -12.95%E -6.54%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.77%EV -12.64%E -4.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-07 19:09
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 19:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 19:15
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 19:04
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -13.84%E -4.81%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -21.64%E -7.21%K -10.82%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-07 18:54
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.83%EV -16.47%E -8.67%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.74%EV -16.23%E -5.80%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.43%EV -17.72%E -5.62%K -8.24%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-07 19:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-03-07 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-03-07 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-03-07 19:15
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-03-07 19:25
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.16%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-03-07 19:25