مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Lugano v FC Luzern

البداية: 2026-03-07 19:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Lugano (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.96%2.27السعر العادل
EV -2.84%
الأفضلية -1.29%
Kelly -2.35%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.35%44.08%43.96%46.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.902.062.052.2152.63%48.61%48.78%45.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Luzern (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.92%3.34السعر العادل
EV +0.221%
الأفضلية +0.066%
Kelly +0.094%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.34%29.79%29.92%31.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.123.103.3535.71%32.02%32.26%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.12%3.83السعر العادل
EV -2.05%
الأفضلية -0.546%
Kelly -0.744%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.04%26.14%26.12%28.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.483.503.7533.33%28.70%28.57%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -12.95%E -6.54%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:09
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:10
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:10
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:10
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -13.39%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV +0.221%E +0.066%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -0.677%E -0.204%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:04
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -0.677%E -0.204%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:04
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.27%E -0.386%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -13.83%E -7.06%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -1.27%E -0.386%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 19:10
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -2.77%E -0.853%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.744%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:05
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.30%EV -6.36%E -2.99%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.27%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:10
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.27%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:39
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.27%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:12
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.75%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.40%EV -4.86%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.85%EV -2.31%E -0.617%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:25
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 43.74%EV -5.04%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.09%EV -6.06%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.17%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:24
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.78%EV -6.36%E -2.99%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -6.66%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -7.53%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:10
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.24%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:25
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 19:09
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -8.56%E -4.11%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:05
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -8.56%E -4.11%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:05
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 18:09
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 19:14
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -7.56%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.05%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:14
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -8.75%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:04
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -8.75%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 19:05
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.744%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:14
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 19:15
BetAnything2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 19:15
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:05
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:19
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:19
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:20
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:20
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 19:08
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 19:15
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 14:39
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 14:40
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 14:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.47%EV -12.52%E -6.29%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 19:05
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -11.75%E -3.98%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:15
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 43.90%EV -12.95%E -6.54%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.77%EV -12.64%E -4.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-07 19:09
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 19:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 19:15
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 19:04
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -13.84%E -4.81%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -21.64%E -7.21%K -10.82%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-07 18:54
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.83%EV -16.47%E -8.67%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.74%EV -16.23%E -5.80%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.43%EV -17.72%E -5.62%K -8.24%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-07 19:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-03-07 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-03-07 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-03-07 19:15
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-03-07 19:25
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.16%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-03-07 19:25