Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Basel v Grasshopper Zürich

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 19:34 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Basel (Local)

Prediction 53.96%1.85fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -5.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.78%53.92%53.86%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.701.701.7864.10%58.97%58.82%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grasshopper Zürich (Visit)

Prediction 21.10%4.74fair odd
EV +3.40%
Edge +0.694%
Kelly +0.872%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.78%20.99%21.22%22.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.394.404.9025.00%22.77%22.73%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.93%4.01fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -0.905%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.33%25.09%24.93%27.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.653.703.8730.77%27.41%27.03%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Basel (Local): 53.96%; Grasshopper Zürich (Visit): 21.10%; Draw: 24.93%. For Grasshopper Zürich (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.74. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +3.40%E +0.694%K +0.872%G +0.030%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -15.22%E -4.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +3.40%E +0.694%K +0.872%G +0.030%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -15.22%E -4.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 19:29
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.90%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +1.29%E +0.269%K +0.340%G +0.004%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.97%EV -3.50%E -0.905%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 19:29
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.27%EV -8.80%E -5.21%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 19.75%EV -0.187%E -0.039%K -0.050%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.98%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.94%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.09%EV -1.87%E -0.403%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.97%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:29
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.93%E -0.637%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:30
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.84%EV -4.62%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.32%EV -7.24%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 19:29
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:30
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.99%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:29
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:19
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 19:29
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -8.80%E -5.21%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.99%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 19:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.28%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.78%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.67%EV -6.10%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 19:29
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -3.95%E -2.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -4.00%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 19:28
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.67%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:30
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 19:29
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 19:30
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:30
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.99%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.75%EV -11.50%E -7.01%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -8.21%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -8.99%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-05 19:29
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.94%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -15.22%E -4.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.94%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -15.22%E -4.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-05 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -10.32%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 19:29
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -10.32%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 19:29
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 19:29
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -11.48%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-05 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -10.42%E -6.28%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-05 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-05 19:30
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.53%EV -12.43%E -2.99%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.96%EV -10.73%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-05 19:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-05 19:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.41%EV -10.42%E -6.28%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -11.48%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-05 19:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.82%EV -12.58%E -7.77%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.27%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-05 19:30
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -11.50%E -7.01%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.78%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -18.96%E -5.83%K -8.43%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-05 19:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 53.89%EV -15.82%E -10.14%K -28.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.02%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.09%EV -16.47%E -4.92%K -7.01%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-05 19:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.75%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.75%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.62%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.21%3.3%2026-03-05 19:30