مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Basel v Grasshopper Zürich

البداية: 2026-03-05 19:34 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Basel (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.96%1.85السعر العادل
EV -3.95%
الأفضلية -2.22%
Kelly -5.06%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.78%53.92%53.86%55.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.701.701.7864.10%58.97%58.82%56.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grasshopper Zürich (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.10%4.74السعر العادل
EV +3.40%
الأفضلية +0.694%
Kelly +0.872%
النمو +0.030%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.78%20.99%21.22%22.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.394.404.9025.00%22.77%22.73%20.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.93%4.01السعر العادل
EV -3.50%
الأفضلية -0.905%
Kelly -1.22%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.33%25.09%24.93%27.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.653.703.8730.77%27.41%27.03%25.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +3.40%E +0.694%K +0.872%G +0.030%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -15.22%E -4.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +3.40%E +0.694%K +0.872%G +0.030%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -15.22%E -4.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 19:29
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.90%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +1.29%E +0.269%K +0.340%G +0.004%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.97%EV -3.50%E -0.905%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 19:29
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.27%EV -8.80%E -5.21%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 19.75%EV -0.187%E -0.039%K -0.050%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.98%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:29
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.94%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.09%EV -1.87%E -0.403%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.97%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:29
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.93%E -0.637%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:30
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.84%EV -4.62%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.32%EV -7.24%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 19:29
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:30
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.99%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:29
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:19
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 19:29
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -8.80%E -5.21%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.99%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 19:29
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.28%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 53.78%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.67%EV -6.10%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 19:29
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -3.95%E -2.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -4.00%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 19:28
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.67%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:30
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 19:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 19:30
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:30
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.99%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:30
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.75%EV -11.50%E -7.01%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -8.21%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -8.99%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-05 19:29
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.94%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -15.22%E -4.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.94%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -15.22%E -4.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-05 19:30
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -10.32%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 19:29
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -10.32%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 19:29
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 19:29
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -11.48%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-05 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -10.42%E -6.28%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-05 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-05 19:30
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.53%EV -12.43%E -2.99%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.96%EV -10.73%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-05 19:29
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-05 19:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.41%EV -10.42%E -6.28%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -11.48%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-05 19:29
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.82%EV -12.58%E -7.77%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.27%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-05 19:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -11.50%E -7.01%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.78%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -18.96%E -5.83%K -8.43%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-05 19:30
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 53.89%EV -15.82%E -10.14%K -28.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.02%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.09%EV -16.47%E -4.92%K -7.01%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-05 19:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.75%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.75%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.62%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.21%3.3%2026-03-05 19:30