L’École des cotes

FC Basel v Grasshopper Zürich

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 19:34 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Basel (Local)

Prévision 53.96%1.85cote équitable
EV -3.95%
Avantage -2.22%
Kelly -5.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.78%53.92%53.86%55.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.701.701.7864.10%58.97%58.82%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grasshopper Zürich (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.10%4.74cote équitable
EV +3.40%
Avantage +0.694%
Kelly +0.872%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.78%20.99%21.22%22.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.394.404.9025.00%22.77%22.73%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.93%4.01cote équitable
EV -3.50%
Avantage -0.905%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.33%25.09%24.93%27.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.653.703.8730.77%27.41%27.03%25.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +3.40%E +0.694%K +0.872%G +0.030%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -15.22%E -4.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV +3.40%E +0.694%K +0.872%G +0.030%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -15.22%E -4.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 19:29
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.90%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +1.29%E +0.269%K +0.340%G +0.004%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.97%EV -3.50%E -0.905%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 19:29
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.27%EV -8.80%E -5.21%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 19.75%EV -0.187%E -0.039%K -0.050%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.98%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:29
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.94%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.09%EV -1.87%E -0.403%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.97%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:29
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.93%E -0.637%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:30
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.84%EV -4.62%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.32%EV -7.24%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 19:29
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:30
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.99%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:29
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:19
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 19:29
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -8.80%E -5.21%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.99%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 19:29
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.28%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 53.78%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.67%EV -6.10%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 19:29
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -3.95%E -2.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -4.00%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 19:28
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.67%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -5.56%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:30
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 19:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 19:30
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:30
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.34%E -5.56%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.99%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:30
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.75%EV -11.50%E -7.01%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -8.21%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -8.99%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-05 19:29
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.94%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -15.22%E -4.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.94%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -15.22%E -4.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-05 19:30
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -10.32%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 19:29
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -10.32%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 19:29
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 19:29
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -11.48%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-05 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -10.42%E -6.28%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-05 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.26%E -4.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-05 19:30
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.53%EV -12.43%E -2.99%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.96%EV -10.73%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-05 19:29
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -7.18%E -4.18%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-05 19:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.41%EV -10.42%E -6.28%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -11.48%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-05 19:29
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.82%EV -12.58%E -7.77%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.27%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-05 19:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -11.50%E -7.01%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.78%EV -9.88%E -5.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -18.96%E -5.83%K -8.43%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-05 19:30
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 53.89%EV -15.82%E -10.14%K -28.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.02%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.09%EV -16.47%E -4.92%K -7.01%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-05 19:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.75%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.75%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.62%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.21%3.3%2026-03-05 19:30