La scuola delle quote

FC Basel v BSC Young Boys

Inizio: 2026-04-04 18:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Basel (Casa)

Previsione 42.72%2.34quota equa
EV +3.37%
Vantaggio +1.39%
Kelly +2.38%
Crescita +0.080%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.15%42.49%42.67%44.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.162.152.4250.00%46.27%46.51%41.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

BSC Young Boys (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.89%3.14quota equa
EV -1.15%
Vantaggio -0.371%
Kelly -0.548%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.17%32.23%31.81%37.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.482.832.803.1040.32%35.35%35.71%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.40%3.94quota equa
EV -0.951%
Vantaggio -0.244%
Kelly -0.328%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.91%25.29%25.52%26.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.613.673.9031.25%27.68%27.21%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.15%EV +3.37%E +1.39%K +2.38%G +0.080%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -20.92%E -8.44%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 10:30
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV +2.52%E +1.05%K +1.80%G +0.045%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.04%EV -15.82%E -5.99%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 11:44
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.57%EV +0.383%E +0.163%K +0.284%G +0.001%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.22%E -0.577%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 17:40
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.45%EV -2.61%E -1.14%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 18:01
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.45%EV -2.61%E -1.14%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 18:05
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15%EV -4.32%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.28%EV -1.47%E -0.476%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.57%EV -4.00%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 18:25
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.40%EV -4.74%E -2.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 18:14
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 18:09
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:10
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:10
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 42.29%EV -6.45%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.05%EV -7.85%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.66%EV -8.32%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:20
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.42%EV -5.30%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -8.06%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:20
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 18:09
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:04
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:04
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 41.81%EV -7.73%E -3.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:04
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.81%EV -7.73%E -3.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:04
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -0.951%E -0.244%K -0.328%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:20
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -0.951%E -0.244%K -0.328%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 18:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 18:04
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:10
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:09
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:04
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:10
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:10
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:10
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 18:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -1.15%E -0.371%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:10
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:20
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:08
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 18:09
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:14
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.69%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.43%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 18:09
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.68%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.59%EV -11.67%E -4.21%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 18:14
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 18:09
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -14.57%E -7.28%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.70%EV -16.46%E -6.28%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.92%EV -14.57%E -7.28%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.88%EV -16.14%E -6.14%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -18.73%E -5.85%K -8.51%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-04 18:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-04-04 18:25
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-04-04 18:25
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-04-04 18:25