مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Basel v BSC Young Boys

البداية: 2026-04-04 18:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Basel (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.72%2.34السعر العادل
EV +3.37%
الأفضلية +1.39%
Kelly +2.38%
النمو +0.080%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.15%42.49%42.67%44.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.162.152.4250.00%46.27%46.51%41.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

BSC Young Boys (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.89%3.14السعر العادل
EV -1.15%
الأفضلية -0.371%
Kelly -0.548%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.17%32.23%31.81%37.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.482.832.803.1040.32%35.35%35.71%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.40%3.94السعر العادل
EV -0.951%
الأفضلية -0.244%
Kelly -0.328%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.91%25.29%25.52%26.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.613.673.9031.25%27.68%27.21%25.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.15%EV +3.37%E +1.39%K +2.38%G +0.080%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -20.92%E -8.44%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 10:30
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV +2.52%E +1.05%K +1.80%G +0.045%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.04%EV -15.82%E -5.99%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 11:44
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.57%EV +0.383%E +0.163%K +0.284%G +0.001%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.22%E -0.577%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 17:40
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.45%EV -2.61%E -1.14%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 18:01
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.45%EV -2.61%E -1.14%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 18:05
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15%EV -4.32%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.28%EV -1.47%E -0.476%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.57%EV -4.00%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 18:25
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.40%EV -4.74%E -2.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 18:14
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 18:09
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:10
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:10
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 42.29%EV -6.45%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.05%EV -7.85%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.66%EV -8.32%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:20
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.42%EV -5.30%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -8.06%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:20
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 18:09
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:04
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:04
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 41.81%EV -7.73%E -3.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:04
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.81%EV -7.73%E -3.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:04
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -0.951%E -0.244%K -0.328%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:20
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -0.951%E -0.244%K -0.328%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 18:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 18:04
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:10
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:09
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:04
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:10
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:10
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:10
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 18:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -1.15%E -0.371%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:10
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:20
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:08
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 18:09
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:14
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.69%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.43%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 18:09
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.68%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.59%EV -11.67%E -4.21%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 18:14
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 18:09
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -14.57%E -7.28%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.70%EV -16.46%E -6.28%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.92%EV -14.57%E -7.28%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.88%EV -16.14%E -6.14%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -18.73%E -5.85%K -8.51%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-04 18:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-04-04 18:25
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-04-04 18:25
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-04-04 18:25