La escuela de los momios

FC Basel v BSC Young Boys

Inicio: 2026-04-04 18:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Basel (Local)

Predicción 42.72%2.34momio equitativo
EV +3.37%
Ventaja +1.39%
Kelly +2.38%
Crecimiento +0.080%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.15%42.49%42.67%44.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.4250.00%46.27%46.51%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

BSC Young Boys (Visitante)

Predicción 31.89%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.371%
Kelly -0.548%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.17%32.23%31.81%37.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.482.832.803.1040.32%35.35%35.71%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.40%3.94momio equitativo
EV -0.951%
Ventaja -0.244%
Kelly -0.328%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.91%25.29%25.52%26.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.613.673.9031.25%27.68%27.21%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.15%EV +3.37%E +1.39%K +2.38%G +0.080%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -20.92%E -8.44%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 10:30
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV +2.52%E +1.05%K +1.80%G +0.045%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.04%EV -15.82%E -5.99%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 11:44
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.57%EV +0.383%E +0.163%K +0.284%G +0.001%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.22%E -0.577%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 17:40
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.45%EV -2.61%E -1.14%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 18:01
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.45%EV -2.61%E -1.14%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 18:05
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15%EV -4.32%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.28%EV -1.47%E -0.476%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.57%EV -4.00%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 18:25
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.40%EV -4.74%E -2.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 18:14
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 18:09
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:10
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:10
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 42.29%EV -6.45%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.05%EV -7.85%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.66%EV -8.32%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:20
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.42%EV -5.30%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -8.06%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:20
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 18:09
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:04
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:04
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 41.81%EV -7.73%E -3.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:04
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.81%EV -7.73%E -3.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:04
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -0.951%E -0.244%K -0.328%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:20
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -0.951%E -0.244%K -0.328%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 18:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 18:04
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:10
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:09
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:04
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:10
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:10
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:10
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 18:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -1.15%E -0.371%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:10
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:20
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:08
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 18:09
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:14
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.69%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.43%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 18:09
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.68%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.59%EV -11.67%E -4.21%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 18:14
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 18:09
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -14.57%E -7.28%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.70%EV -16.46%E -6.28%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.92%EV -14.57%E -7.28%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.88%EV -16.14%E -6.14%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -18.73%E -5.85%K -8.51%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-04 18:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-04-04 18:25
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-04-04 18:25
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-04-04 18:25