L’École des cotes

FC Basel v BSC Young Boys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 18:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Basel (Local)

Prévision 42.72%2.34cote équitable
EV +3.37%
Avantage +1.39%
Kelly +2.38%
Croissance +0.080%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.15%42.49%42.67%44.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.152.4250.00%46.27%46.51%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

BSC Young Boys (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.89%3.14cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.371%
Kelly -0.548%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.17%32.23%31.81%37.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.482.832.803.1040.32%35.35%35.71%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.40%3.94cote équitable
EV -0.951%
Avantage -0.244%
Kelly -0.328%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.91%25.29%25.52%26.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.613.673.9031.25%27.68%27.21%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.15%EV +3.37%E +1.39%K +2.38%G +0.080%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -20.92%E -8.44%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 10:30
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV +2.52%E +1.05%K +1.80%G +0.045%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.04%EV -15.82%E -5.99%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 11:44
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.57%EV +0.383%E +0.163%K +0.284%G +0.001%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.22%E -0.577%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 17:40
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.45%EV -2.61%E -1.14%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 18:01
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.45%EV -2.61%E -1.14%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 18:05
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15%EV -4.32%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.28%EV -1.47%E -0.476%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.57%EV -4.00%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 18:25
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.40%EV -4.74%E -2.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 18:14
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 18:09
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:10
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:10
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 42.29%EV -6.45%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.05%EV -7.85%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.66%EV -8.32%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:20
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.42%EV -5.30%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -8.06%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:20
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 18:09
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:04
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:04
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -6.88%E -3.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:01
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 41.81%EV -7.73%E -3.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:04
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.81%EV -7.73%E -3.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 18:04
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -0.951%E -0.244%K -0.328%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:20
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -0.951%E -0.244%K -0.328%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 18:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 18:04
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:10
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:09
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:04
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:10
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:10
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:10
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -8.16%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 18:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -1.15%E -0.371%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:10
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:20
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:08
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 18:09
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:14
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.30%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.69%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.43%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 18:09
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.68%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.59%EV -11.67%E -4.21%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 18:14
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 18:09
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -14.57%E -7.28%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.70%EV -16.46%E -6.28%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.92%EV -14.57%E -7.28%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.88%EV -16.14%E -6.14%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -18.73%E -5.85%K -8.51%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-04 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-04-04 18:25
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-04-04 18:25
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-04-04 18:25