Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Varbergs BoIS v Sandvikens IF

2026-08-09 13:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Prediction 53.50%1.87fair odd
EV -6.38%
Edge -3.65%
Kelly -8.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.87%53.65%53.50%55.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.681.7561.73%59.14%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sandvikens IF (Visit)

Prediction 23.02%4.34fair odd
EV +1.30%
Edge +0.296%
Kelly +0.383%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.04%22.84%23.05%24.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.124.084.4027.78%24.26%24.51%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.48%4.26fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.15%23.51%23.45%24.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.903.954.0527.78%25.64%25.32%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Varbergs BoIS (Local): 53.50%; Sandvikens IF (Visit): 23.02%; Draw: 23.48%. For Sandvikens IF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.34. 12 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.40, producing a positive expected value of +1.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +1.30%E +0.296%K +0.383%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 13:05
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +1.30%E +0.296%K +0.383%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 13:04
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +1.30%E +0.296%K +0.383%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 13:04
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +1.30%E +0.296%K +0.383%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 13:04
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:05
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:05
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:05
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:05
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:04
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:04
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%EV -11.73%E -7.11%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 13:05
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.50%EV -13.34%E -8.23%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -2.15%E -0.506%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 13:05
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.91%EV -7.99%E -4.64%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -5.60%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 18:30
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.52%E -4.98%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.60%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 15:19
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.56%EV -6.92%E -3.97%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.84%EV -6.06%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 18:40
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.02%EV -6.29%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:19
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -4.91%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:24
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -4.91%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:25
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -6.92%E -3.97%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.91%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 18:10
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -7.91%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 15:18
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -10.66%E -6.38%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.91%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 15:20
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.45%E -4.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:25
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.81%EV -7.99%E -4.64%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 20:04
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 15:14
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 15:14
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 15:15
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 15:15
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 53.69%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 15:20
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 14:30
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -10.66%E -6.38%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -17.12%E -4.75%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -15.47%E -4.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-02 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 46.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.29%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%21.7%2026-08-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 46.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.29%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%21.7%2026-08-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 46.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.29%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%21.7%2026-08-02 18:55