StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Varbergs BoIS v Sandvikens IF

2026-08-09 13:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Matchresultat

31 spelbolag (9 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Varbergs BoIS (Hemma)

Prognos 53.50%1.87rättvist odds
EV -6.38%
Fördel -3.65%
Kelly -8.51%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.87%53.65%53.50%55.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.621.691.681.7561.73%59.14%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sandvikens IF (Borta)

Prognos 23.02%4.34rättvist odds
EV +1.30%
Fördel +0.296%
Kelly +0.383%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.04%22.84%23.05%24.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.604.124.084.4027.78%24.26%24.51%22.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.48%4.26rättvist odds
EV -4.91%
Fördel -1.21%
Kelly -1.61%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.15%23.51%23.45%24.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.903.954.0527.78%25.64%25.32%24.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Varbergs BoIS (Hemma): 53.50%; Sandvikens IF (Borta): 23.02%; Oavgjort: 23.48%. För Sandvikens IF (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.34. 12 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.40, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +1.30%.

Spelbolagsodds (31 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +1.30%E +0.296%K +0.383%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 13:05
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +1.30%E +0.296%K +0.383%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 13:04
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +1.30%E +0.296%K +0.383%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 13:04
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +1.30%E +0.296%K +0.383%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 13:04
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:05
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:05
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:05
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:05
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:04
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:04
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%EV -11.73%E -7.11%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 13:05
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.50%EV -13.34%E -8.23%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -2.15%E -0.506%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 13:05
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.91%EV -7.99%E -4.64%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -5.60%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 18:30
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.52%E -4.98%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.60%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 15:19
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.56%EV -6.92%E -3.97%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.84%EV -6.06%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 18:40
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.02%EV -6.29%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:19
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -4.91%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:24
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -4.91%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:25
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -6.92%E -3.97%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.91%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 18:10
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -7.91%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 15:18
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -10.66%E -6.38%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.91%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 15:20
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.45%E -4.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:25
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.81%EV -7.99%E -4.64%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 20:04
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 15:14
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 15:14
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 15:15
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 15:15
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 53.69%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 15:20
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 14:30
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -10.66%E -6.38%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -17.12%E -4.75%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -15.47%E -4.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-02 15:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 46.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.29%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%21.7%2026-08-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 46.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.29%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%21.7%2026-08-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 46.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.29%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%21.7%2026-08-02 18:55