Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Varbergs BoIS v Sandvikens IF

2026-08-09 13:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Prévision 53.50%1.87cote équitable
EV -6.38%
Avantage -3.65%
Kelly -8.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.87%53.65%53.50%55.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.691.681.7561.73%59.14%59.52%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sandvikens IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.02%4.34cote équitable
EV +1.30%
Avantage +0.296%
Kelly +0.383%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.04%22.84%23.05%24.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.124.084.4027.78%24.26%24.51%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.48%4.26cote équitable
EV -4.91%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.15%23.51%23.45%24.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.903.954.0527.78%25.64%25.32%24.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Varbergs BoIS (Local) : 53.50% ; Sandvikens IF (Visiteur) : 23.02% ; Match nul : 23.48%. Pour Sandvikens IF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.34. 12 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.40, pour une espérance positive de +1.30%.

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +1.30%E +0.296%K +0.383%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 13:05
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +1.30%E +0.296%K +0.383%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 13:04
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +1.30%E +0.296%K +0.383%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 13:04
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +1.30%E +0.296%K +0.383%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 13:04
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:05
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:05
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:05
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:05
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:04
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:04
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%EV -11.73%E -7.11%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV +0.152%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 13:05
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.50%EV -13.34%E -8.23%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -2.15%E -0.506%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 13:05
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.91%EV -7.99%E -4.64%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -5.60%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 18:30
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.52%E -4.98%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.60%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 15:19
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.56%EV -6.92%E -3.97%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.84%EV -6.06%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 18:40
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.02%EV -6.29%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:19
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -4.91%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:24
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -4.91%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:25
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -6.92%E -3.97%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.91%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 18:10
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -7.91%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 15:18
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -10.66%E -6.38%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.91%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 15:20
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.45%E -4.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:25
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.81%EV -7.99%E -4.64%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 20:04
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 15:14
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 15:14
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 15:15
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 15:15
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 53.69%EV -11.20%E -6.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -10.21%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 15:20
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 14:30
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -10.66%E -6.38%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -17.12%E -4.75%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -15.47%E -4.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-02 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 46.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.29%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%21.7%2026-08-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 46.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.29%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%21.7%2026-08-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 46.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.29%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%21.7%2026-08-02 18:55