Language:English
Varbergs BoIS v Örebro SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Varbergs BoIS (Local)
Prediction 47.14%2.12fair odd
EV +3.71%
Edge +1.69%
Kelly +3.10%
Growth +0.115%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.34%47.07%47.08%49.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.961.952.2054.64%51.03%51.28%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Örebro SK (Visit)
Prediction 25.70%3.89fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.278%
Kelly -0.376%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.84%25.76%25.76%29.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.543.503.8531.25%28.26%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.16%3.68fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.60%27.17%27.16%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.403.5533.33%29.77%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Varbergs BoIS (Local): 47.14%; Örebro SK (Visit): 25.70%; Draw: 27.16%. For Varbergs BoIS (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV +3.71%E +1.69%K +3.10%G +0.115% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -17.77%E -5.55%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 12:23 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.36%E -0.620%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.89%EV -6.19%E -3.11%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -1.58%E -0.414%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.14%EV -6.66%E -3.36%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -6.47%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.21%EV -6.84%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -6.66%E -3.36%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 12:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 12:36 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -7.60%E -3.88%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -12.63%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 12:36 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.15%EV -5.44%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.38%EV -8.20%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 12:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 12:51 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 12:46 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 12:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.63%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 12:46 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.63%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 12:21 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.63%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -8.54%E -4.40%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -13.92%E -4.15%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -1.07%E -0.278%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -1.07%E -0.278%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 12:46 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -1.07%E -0.278%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 12:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 12:46 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 12:46 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -15.80%E -5.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.52%E -6.17%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-02 12:42 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.05%EV -11.84%E -6.33%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -12.63%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 12:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.92%EV -12.31%E -6.62%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -15.80%E -5.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -13.73%E -7.50%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.36%E -0.620%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 12:36 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |