La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Varbergs BoIS v Örebro SK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Varbergs BoIS (Local)
Predicción 47.14%2.12momio equitativo
EV +3.71%
Ventaja +1.69%
Kelly +3.10%
Crecimiento +0.115%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.34%47.07%47.08%49.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.961.952.2054.64%51.03%51.28%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Örebro SK (Visitante)
Predicción 25.70%3.89momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.278%
Kelly -0.376%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.84%25.76%25.76%29.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.543.503.8531.25%28.26%28.57%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.16%3.68momio equitativo
EV -3.58%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.60%27.17%27.16%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.403.5533.33%29.77%29.41%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV +3.71%E +1.69%K +3.10%G +0.115% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -17.77%E -5.55%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 12:23 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.36%E -0.620%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.89%EV -6.19%E -3.11%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -1.58%E -0.414%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.14%EV -6.66%E -3.36%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -6.47%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.21%EV -6.84%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -6.66%E -3.36%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| Unibet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 12:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 12:36 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -7.60%E -3.88%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -12.63%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 12:36 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.15%EV -5.44%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.38%EV -8.20%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 12:54 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 12:30 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 12:51 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 12:46 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 12:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 12:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.63%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 12:30 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 12:46 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.63%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 12:21 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.63%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -8.54%E -4.40%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -13.92%E -4.15%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -1.07%E -0.278%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -1.07%E -0.278%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 12:46 |
| BetAnything | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -1.07%E -0.278%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 12:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 12:46 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 12:46 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -15.80%E -5.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.52%E -6.17%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-02 12:42 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.05%EV -11.84%E -6.33%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -12.63%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 12:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.92%EV -12.31%E -6.62%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -15.80%E -5.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -13.73%E -7.50%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.36%E -0.620%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 12:36 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |