A Escola das Odds

Varbergs BoIS v Örebro SK

Início: 2026-05-02 13:00 UTC

Final: Varbergs BoIS 0–0 Örebro SK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Previsão 47.14%2.12odd justa
EV +3.71%
Vantagem +1.69%
Kelly +3.10%
Crescimento +0.115%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.34%47.07%47.08%49.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.961.952.2054.64%51.03%51.28%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Örebro SK (Visitante)

Previsão 25.70%3.89odd justa
EV -1.07%
Vantagem -0.278%
Kelly -0.376%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.84%25.76%25.76%29.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.543.503.8531.25%28.26%28.57%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.16%3.68odd justa
EV -3.58%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.60%27.17%27.16%28.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.363.403.5533.33%29.77%29.41%28.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV +3.71%E +1.69%K +3.10%G +0.115%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -17.77%E -5.55%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 12:23
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 12:35
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 12:35
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 12:35
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.36%E -0.620%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 12:45
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 12:45
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 12:20
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 12:20
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 12:20
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 47.89%EV -6.19%E -3.11%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -1.58%E -0.414%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 12:55
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.14%EV -6.66%E -3.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -6.47%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.21%EV -6.84%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:55
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -6.66%E -3.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 12:35
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 12:35
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 12:35
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 12:35
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 12:34
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 12:35
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 12:36
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 12:35
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -7.60%E -3.88%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -12.63%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 12:36
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.15%EV -5.44%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.38%EV -8.20%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 12:54
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:30
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 12:51
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 12:46
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 12:30
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 12:20
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 12:30
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.63%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 12:30
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 12:45
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 12:46
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 12:45
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 12:45
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.63%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 12:21
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.63%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -8.54%E -4.40%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -13.92%E -4.15%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 12:35
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -1.07%E -0.278%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 12:45
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -1.07%E -0.278%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 12:46
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -1.07%E -0.278%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 12:45
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 12:54
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 12:55
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 12:46
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 12:46
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -15.80%E -5.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.52%E -6.17%K -9.26%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-02 12:42
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.05%EV -11.84%E -6.33%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -12.63%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 12:15
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 46.92%EV -12.31%E -6.62%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -15.80%E -5.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-02 12:45
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -13.73%E -7.50%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.36%E -0.620%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 12:36
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-05-02 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-05-02 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-05-02 12:55
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-05-02 12:55