Language:English
Varbergs BoIS v Nordic United FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Varbergs BoIS (Local)
Prediction 46.99%2.13fair odd
EV -4.13%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.94%47.07%46.94%49.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.942.0454.64%51.28%51.55%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nordic United FC (Visit)
Prediction 26.26%3.81fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.405%
Kelly -0.552%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%26.19%26.34%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.563.583.7530.77%28.11%27.93%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.75%3.74fair odd
EV +0.296%
Edge +0.079%
Kelly +0.107%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.84%26.73%26.73%29.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.443.503.7534.72%29.10%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Varbergs BoIS (Local): 46.99%; Nordic United FC (Visit): 26.26%; Draw: 26.75%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.296%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV +0.296%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.84%EV -6.48%E -3.26%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.15%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.01%EV -2.11%E -0.577%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.69%EV -4.13%E -2.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -2.38%E -0.652%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 09:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 10:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.52%E -0.405%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.52%E -0.405%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.52%E -0.405%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.52%E -0.405%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -14.00%E -7.65%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.25%EV -7.42%E -3.77%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.00%EV -5.98%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.75%EV -6.93%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.89%E -4.03%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.93%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.41%EV -11.18%E -5.92%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 10:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 10:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -12.02%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-18 10:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -12.12%E -6.48%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -10.40%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -10.40%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.83%E -0.766%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.78%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -14.65%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.62%EV -12.59%E -6.77%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.28%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-18 10:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -22.97%E -7.98%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |