A Escola das Odds

Varbergs BoIS v Nordic United FC

Início: 2026-04-18 11:00 UTC

Final: Varbergs BoIS 4–1 Nordic United FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Previsão 46.99%2.13odd justa
EV -4.13%
Vantagem -2.03%
Kelly -3.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.94%47.07%46.94%49.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.951.942.0454.64%51.28%51.55%49.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nordic United FC (Visitante)

Previsão 26.26%3.81odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.405%
Kelly -0.552%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.03%26.19%26.34%27.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.563.583.7530.77%28.11%27.93%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.75%3.74odd justa
EV +0.296%
Vantagem +0.079%
Kelly +0.107%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.84%26.73%26.73%29.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.443.503.7534.72%29.10%28.57%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV +0.296%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 10:45
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 47.84%EV -6.48%E -3.26%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.15%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.01%EV -2.11%E -0.577%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 10:45
Coolbet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.69%EV -4.13%E -2.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -2.38%E -0.652%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 09:30
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 10:44
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:49
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:50
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:49
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.52%E -0.405%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.52%E -0.405%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 10:45
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.52%E -0.405%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 10:45
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.52%E -0.405%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 10:45
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 10:45
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 10:45
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 10:45
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 10:45
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 10:45
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 10:45
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 10:45
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -14.00%E -7.65%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 10:49
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.25%EV -7.42%E -3.77%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.00%EV -5.98%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.75%EV -6.93%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 10:50
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.89%E -4.03%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.93%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 10:50
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.41%EV -11.18%E -5.92%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 10:44
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 10:44
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -12.02%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 10:44
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -12.12%E -6.48%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 10:45
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -10.40%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:44
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -10.40%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:45
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.83%E -0.766%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:44
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 10:49
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 10:45
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 10:45
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 10:49
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.78%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -14.65%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-18 10:45
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 46.62%EV -12.59%E -6.77%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.28%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-18 10:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -22.97%E -7.98%K -12.22%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-18 10:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-04-18 10:50
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-04-18 10:45