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Varbergs BoIS v Nordic United FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Varbergs BoIS (Local)
Predicción 46.99%2.13momio equitativo
EV -4.13%
Ventaja -2.03%
Kelly -3.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.94%47.07%46.94%49.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.831.951.942.0454.64%51.28%51.55%49.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nordic United FC (Visitante)
Predicción 26.26%3.81momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.405%
Kelly -0.552%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.03%26.19%26.34%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.563.583.7530.77%28.11%27.93%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.75%3.74momio equitativo
EV +0.296%
Ventaja +0.079%
Kelly +0.107%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.84%26.73%26.73%29.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.443.503.7534.72%29.10%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Varbergs BoIS (Local): 46.99%; Nordic United FC (Visitante): 26.26%; Empate: 26.75%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.74. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.296%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV +0.296%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.84%EV -6.48%E -3.26%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.15%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.01%EV -2.11%E -0.577%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.69%EV -4.13%E -2.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -2.38%E -0.652%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 09:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 10:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.52%E -0.405%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.52%E -0.405%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.52%E -0.405%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.83%E -4.55%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.52%E -0.405%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -14.00%E -7.65%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.25%EV -7.42%E -3.77%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.00%EV -5.98%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.75%EV -6.93%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.89%E -4.03%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.93%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.41%EV -11.18%E -5.92%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 10:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 10:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -12.02%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-18 10:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -12.12%E -6.48%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -10.40%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -10.40%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.83%E -0.766%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.01%E -3.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.78%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -14.65%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.62%EV -12.59%E -6.77%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.28%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-18 10:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -22.97%E -7.98%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 10:45 |