Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sandvikens IF v Falkenbergs FF

Kickoff: 2026-06-09 17:00 UTC

Final: Sandvikens IF 4–2 Falkenbergs FF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sandvikens IF (Local)

Prediction 38.90%2.57fair odd
EV +6.19%
Edge +2.27%
Kelly +3.58%
Growth +0.222%

assuming max odds 2.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.85%38.69%38.90%40.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.382.7345.45%42.23%42.02%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Falkenbergs FF (Visit)

Prediction 34.18%2.93fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.788%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.17%34.42%34.21%38.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.672.652.8640.32%37.43%37.74%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.92%3.71fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.92%26.89%26.89%29.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.393.453.5534.72%29.46%28.99%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sandvikens IF (Local): 38.90%; Falkenbergs FF (Visit): 34.18%; Draw: 26.92%. For Sandvikens IF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.85%EV +6.19%E +2.27%K +3.58%G +0.222%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -15.24%E -6.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.77%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.23%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.48%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.48%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 15:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.48%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 15:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.48%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 15:19
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.87%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.04%E -2.59%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 11:19
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.87%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.04%E -2.59%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 11:19
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -2.60%E -0.911%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 12:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-09 11:20
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.14%E -4.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-09 11:18
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -14.56%E -5.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-09 13:00
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-09 11:17
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.95%EV -6.70%E -2.45%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.92%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-09 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.95%EV -6.70%E -2.45%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.92%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-09 15:50
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:17
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.39%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-09 15:19
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-09 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-09 15:19
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-09 12:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-09 15:19
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -7.81%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -14.56%E -5.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-09 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -7.81%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -14.56%E -5.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-09 11:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.85%EV -8.20%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.89%EV -2.25%E -0.788%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.85%EV -8.20%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.89%EV -2.25%E -0.788%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 15:19
BetUS🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.85%EV -8.20%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.89%EV -2.25%E -0.788%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 15:19
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -2.60%E -0.911%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:18
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-09 15:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -9.37%E -4.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -11.14%E -4.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-09 15:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-09 15:19
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-09 11:19
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -12.48%E -5.55%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.48%E -5.55%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.50%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-09 15:19
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -14.42%E -6.56%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -11.14%E -4.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-09 15:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -14.42%E -6.56%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-09 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -14.42%E -6.56%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.17%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.46%E -7.80%K -11.95%G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%0.7%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-06-09 15:50