L’École des cotes

Sandvikens IF v Falkenbergs FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-09 17:00 UTC

Score final : Sandvikens IF 4–2 Falkenbergs FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sandvikens IF (Local)

Prévision 38.90%2.57cote équitable
EV +6.19%
Avantage +2.27%
Kelly +3.58%
Croissance +0.222%

avec la cote maximale 2.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.85%38.69%38.90%40.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.372.382.7345.45%42.23%42.02%36.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Falkenbergs FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.18%2.93cote équitable
EV -2.25%
Avantage -0.788%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.17%34.42%34.21%38.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.482.672.652.8640.32%37.43%37.74%34.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.92%3.71cote équitable
EV -4.42%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -1.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.92%26.89%26.89%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.393.453.5534.72%29.46%28.99%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.85%EV +6.19%E +2.27%K +3.58%G +0.222%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -15.24%E -6.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.77%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.23%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.48%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.48%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 15:19
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.48%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 15:19
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.48%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 15:19
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.87%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.04%E -2.59%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 11:19
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.87%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.04%E -2.59%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 11:19
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -2.60%E -0.911%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 12:39
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-09 11:20
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.14%E -4.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-09 11:18
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -14.56%E -5.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-09 13:00
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-09 11:17
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.95%EV -6.70%E -2.45%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.92%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-09 15:50
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.95%EV -6.70%E -2.45%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.92%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-09 15:50
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:17
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.39%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-09 15:19
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-09 12:49
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-09 15:19
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-09 12:49
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-09 15:19
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -7.81%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -14.56%E -5.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-09 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -7.81%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -14.56%E -5.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-09 11:19
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.85%EV -8.20%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.89%EV -2.25%E -0.788%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 15:19
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.85%EV -8.20%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.89%EV -2.25%E -0.788%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 15:19
BetUS2.36I 42.37%NM 39.85%EV -8.20%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.89%EV -2.25%E -0.788%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 15:19
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -2.60%E -0.911%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:18
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-09 15:19
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -9.37%E -4.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -11.14%E -4.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-09 15:19
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-09 15:19
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-09 11:19
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -12.48%E -5.55%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.48%E -5.55%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.50%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-09 15:19
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -14.42%E -6.56%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -11.14%E -4.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-09 15:20
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -14.42%E -6.56%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-09 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -14.42%E -6.56%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.17%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.46%E -7.80%K -11.95%G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%0.7%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-06-09 15:50