La escuela de los momios

Sandvikens IF v Falkenbergs FF

Inicio: 2026-06-09 17:00 UTC

Final: Sandvikens IF 4–2 Falkenbergs FF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sandvikens IF (Local)

Predicción 38.90%2.57momio equitativo
EV +6.19%
Ventaja +2.27%
Kelly +3.58%
Crecimiento +0.222%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.85%38.69%38.90%40.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.372.382.7345.45%42.23%42.02%36.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Falkenbergs FF (Visitante)

Predicción 34.18%2.93momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -0.788%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.17%34.42%34.21%38.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.482.672.652.8640.32%37.43%37.74%34.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.92%3.71momio equitativo
EV -4.42%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.92%26.89%26.89%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.393.453.5534.72%29.46%28.99%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.85%EV +6.19%E +2.27%K +3.58%G +0.222%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -15.24%E -6.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.77%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.23%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.48%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.48%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 15:19
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.48%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 15:19
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.48%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 15:19
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.87%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.04%E -2.59%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 11:19
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.87%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.04%E -2.59%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 11:19
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -2.60%E -0.911%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 12:39
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-09 11:20
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.14%E -4.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-09 11:18
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -14.56%E -5.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-09 13:00
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-09 11:17
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.95%EV -6.70%E -2.45%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.92%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-09 15:50
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.95%EV -6.70%E -2.45%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.92%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-09 15:50
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:17
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.39%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-09 15:19
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-09 12:49
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-09 15:19
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-09 12:49
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-09 15:19
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -7.81%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -14.56%E -5.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-09 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -7.81%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -14.56%E -5.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-09 11:19
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.85%EV -8.20%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.89%EV -2.25%E -0.788%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 15:19
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.85%EV -8.20%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.89%EV -2.25%E -0.788%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 15:19
BetUS2.36I 42.37%NM 39.85%EV -8.20%E -3.47%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.89%EV -2.25%E -0.788%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 15:19
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -2.60%E -0.911%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:18
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-09 15:19
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -9.37%E -4.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -11.14%E -4.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-09 15:19
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-09 15:19
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-09 11:19
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -12.48%E -5.55%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.48%E -5.55%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.50%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-09 15:19
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -14.42%E -6.56%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -11.14%E -4.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-09 15:20
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -14.42%E -6.56%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-09 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -14.42%E -6.56%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.17%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.46%E -7.80%K -11.95%G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%0.7%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-06-09 15:50