Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.76
assuming max odds 4.90
assuming max odds 4.04
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Östersunds FK (Local): 55.70%; IK Brage (Visit): 20.06%; Draw: 24.24%. For IK Brage (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.90, with an expected value of -1.69%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -14.73%E -3.47%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -14.73%E -3.47%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -14.73%E -3.47%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -14.73%E -3.47%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -1.69%E -0.346%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -5.48%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 09:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.71%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.05%E -0.763%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.71%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.26%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.71%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.26%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.71%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.26%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.40%EV -7.11%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.38%EV -2.08%E -0.516%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.00%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -19.75%E -4.94%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.70%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.48%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.70%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 19.96%EV -6.31%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -3.05%E -0.763%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 09:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.11%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -7.71%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.97%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -20.75%E -5.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -13.96%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.97%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -20.75%E -5.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -13.96%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -3.70%E -0.771%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:36 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -3.70%E -0.771%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.19%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -5.71%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -5.71%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -5.71%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -11.73%E -2.66%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -15.17%E -4.33%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -15.17%E -4.33%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -15.17%E -4.33%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -15.17%E -4.33%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -8.65%E -5.27%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -3.70%E -0.771%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.11%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -8.65%E -5.27%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -3.70%E -0.771%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.11%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.65%E -5.27%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.73%E -2.66%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -9.76%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 16:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -9.76%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.74%E -3.75%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -9.11%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 05:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -9.76%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -10.32%E -6.41%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.70%E -0.771%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -5.48%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 17:03 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -10.88%E -6.80%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -5.71%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.83%EV -11.44%E -7.19%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -11.73%E -2.66%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.99%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 16:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.78% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.78% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |