Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Östersunds FK v IK Brage

Início: 2026-09-10 17:00 UTC

Final: Östersunds FK 1–1 IK Brage

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Östersunds FK (Local)

Previsão 55.70%1.80odd justa
EV -1.97%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -2.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.97%55.55%55.60%57.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.591.671.671.7662.89%59.84%59.88%56.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IK Brage (Visitante)

Previsão 20.06%4.98odd justa
EV -1.69%
Vantagem -0.346%
Kelly -0.434%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.19%20.22%20.07%22.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.954.444.504.9025.32%22.51%22.22%20.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.24%4.13odd justa
EV -2.08%
Vantagem -0.516%
Kelly -0.685%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.15%24.24%24.33%25.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.733.704.0428.57%26.83%27.03%24.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Östersunds FK (Local): 55.70%; IK Brage (Visitante): 20.06%; Empate: 24.24%. Para IK Brage (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.98. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.90, com valor esperado de -1.69%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -14.73%E -3.47%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -14.73%E -3.47%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -14.73%E -3.47%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -14.73%E -3.47%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 12:35
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 12:35
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 12:35
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 12:35
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 12:35
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 12:35
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -1.69%E -0.346%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -5.48%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 09:50
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.71%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.05%E -0.763%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 17:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.71%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.26%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.71%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.26%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.71%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.26%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:06
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.40%EV -7.11%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.38%EV -2.08%E -0.516%K -0.685%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 17:11
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.00%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -19.75%E -4.94%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.70%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.48%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.70%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 14:25
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 19.96%EV -6.31%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:40
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -3.05%E -0.763%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 09:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.11%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -7.71%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 14:25
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 16:55
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 16:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 16:56
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.97%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -20.75%E -5.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -13.96%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-09 12:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.97%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -20.75%E -5.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -13.96%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-09 12:35
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -3.70%E -0.771%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:36
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -3.70%E -0.771%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.19%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -5.71%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -5.71%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 14:25
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -5.71%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -11.73%E -2.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -15.17%E -4.33%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -15.17%E -4.33%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 14:25
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -15.17%E -4.33%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 14:25
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -15.17%E -4.33%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 14:25
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -8.65%E -5.27%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -3.70%E -0.771%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.11%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:39
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -8.65%E -5.27%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -3.70%E -0.771%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.11%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:40
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.65%E -5.27%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.73%E -2.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -9.76%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 16:54
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -9.76%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.74%E -3.75%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -9.11%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 05:20
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -9.76%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -10.32%E -6.41%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.70%E -0.771%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -5.48%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 17:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -10.88%E -6.80%K -18.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -5.71%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 14:04
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.83%EV -11.44%E -7.19%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -11.73%E -2.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.99%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 16:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 54.78%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%4.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 54.78%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%4.9%2026-09-09 17:21
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%5.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%6.0%2026-09-09 17:35