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Östersunds FK v IK Brage
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Östersunds FK (Хозяева)
Прогноз 55.70%1.80справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.97%
Преимущество -1.12%
Kelly -2.59%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.76
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.97%55.55%55.60%57.20%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.591.671.671.7662.89%59.84%59.88%56.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
IK Brage (Гости)
Прогноз 20.06%4.98справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.69%
Преимущество -0.346%
Kelly -0.434%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.19%20.22%20.07%22.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.954.444.504.9025.32%22.51%22.22%20.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 24.24%4.13справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.08%
Преимущество -0.516%
Kelly -0.685%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.04
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.15%24.24%24.33%25.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.733.704.0428.57%26.83%27.03%24.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Östersunds FK (Хозяева): 55.70%; IK Brage (Гости): 20.06%; Ничья: 24.24%. Для исхода «IK Brage (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.98. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 4.90, математическое ожидание — -1.69%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -14.73%E -3.47%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -14.73%E -3.47%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -14.73%E -3.47%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -14.73%E -3.47%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -17.74%E -4.33%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -1.69%E -0.346%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -5.48%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 09:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.71%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.05%E -0.763%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.71%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.26%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.71%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.26%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.71%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.26%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.40%EV -7.11%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.38%EV -2.08%E -0.516%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.00%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -19.75%E -4.94%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.70%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.48%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.70%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 19.96%EV -6.31%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -3.05%E -0.763%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 09:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.11%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -7.71%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.97%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -20.75%E -5.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -13.96%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.97%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -20.75%E -5.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -13.96%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -3.70%E -0.771%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:36 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -3.70%E -0.771%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.19%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -5.71%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -5.71%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -5.71%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -11.73%E -2.66%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -15.17%E -4.33%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -15.17%E -4.33%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -15.17%E -4.33%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.09%E -4.91%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -15.17%E -4.33%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -8.65%E -5.27%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -3.70%E -0.771%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.11%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -8.65%E -5.27%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -3.70%E -0.771%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.11%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.65%E -5.27%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.73%E -2.66%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -9.76%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -9.72%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 16:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -9.76%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.74%E -3.75%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -9.11%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 05:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -9.76%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -13.13%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -10.32%E -6.41%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.70%E -0.771%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -5.48%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 17:03 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -10.88%E -6.80%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -5.71%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.83%EV -11.44%E -7.19%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -11.73%E -2.66%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.99%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 16:55 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.78% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.78% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |