Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östers IF v Varbergs BoIS

Kickoff: 2026-07-27 17:05 UTC

Final: Östers IF 3–0 Varbergs BoIS

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östers IF (Local)

Prediction 31.49%3.18fair odd
EV -0.497%
Edge -0.157%
Kelly -0.230%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.11%31.41%31.75%32.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.882.853.1638.17%34.72%35.09%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Varbergs BoIS (Visit)

Prediction 42.50%2.35fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.30%42.53%42.58%45.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.202.2750.00%45.89%45.45%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.01%3.84fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.96%26.06%25.67%27.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.523.7030.30%28.52%28.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Östers IF (Local): 31.49%; Varbergs BoIS (Visit): 42.50%; Draw: 26.01%. For Östers IF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.16, with an expected value of -0.497%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.15%EV -0.497%E -0.157%K -0.230%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.10%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.76%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -0.812%E -0.258%K -0.378%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -0.812%E -0.258%K -0.378%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 16:50
BetAnything🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -0.812%E -0.258%K -0.378%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -2.39%E -0.770%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -15.00%E -7.50%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.30%EV -9.05%E -4.23%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.44%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 16:55
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.06%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 16:48
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 16:55
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-27 17:00
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 16:50
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.96%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.76%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 16:55
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 16:55
1xBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -7.74%E -2.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.63%EV -6.93%E -3.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.51%EV -4.80%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 17:00
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.44%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 16:50
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.44%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 16:50
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -3.76%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 16:50
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -3.76%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 16:55
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 16:55
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-27 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 16:15
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 16:59
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -7.35%E -3.37%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.86%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 16:50
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -5.23%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -5.23%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -5.23%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 16:15
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -5.23%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 16:15
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -5.23%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 16:15
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -5.23%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 16:15
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -5.23%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-27 16:55
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 16:15
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 16:56
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 16:55
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 16:50
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 42.73%EV -13.73%E -6.76%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-27 16:55
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -13.41%E -4.88%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -13.41%E -4.88%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -7.78%E -3.58%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-27 16:15
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -14.98%E -5.55%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-27 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -14.98%E -5.55%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-27 16:40
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 32.92%EV -17.50%E -6.68%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.12%EV -15.00%E -7.50%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-27 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-07-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-07-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-07-27 17:01
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-07-27 17:01