The School of Odds

Östers IF v Varbergs BoIS

2026-07-27 17:05 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Östers IF (Local)

Prediction 32.97%3.03fair odd
EV -6.05%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.23%33.01%33.00%34.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.802.8538%36%36%35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Varbergs BoIS (Visit)

Prediction 40.86%2.45fair odd
EV -5.21%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -3.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.00%40.89%40.82%41.98%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.242.252.3247%45%44%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.18%3.82fair odd
EV -0.525%
Edge -0.138%
Kelly -0.188%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.57%26.10%26.17%27.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.483.8030%29%29%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 33.01%EV -6.05%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.56%EV -5.21%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.43%EV -6.81%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 06:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.05%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 17:10
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.05%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 17:10
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.05%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 17:15
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.05%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 17:15
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -7.03%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 17:10
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -7.03%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 17:10
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.69%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 03:25
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.69%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 17:05
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.69%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 17:10
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.69%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 17:10
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.69%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 17:10
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.69%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 17:10
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.69%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 17:10
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.69%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 17:10
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.69%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 17:14
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -7.69%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -12.16%E -5.66%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 20:20
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.38%EV -8.02%E -2.88%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.03%EV -7.26%E -3.20%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.59%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-20 18:30
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.34%EV -8.35%E -3.00%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.46%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 18:25
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -9.34%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -0.525%E -0.138%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -9.34%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -0.525%E -0.138%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 18:25
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.34%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.61%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 19:15
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.34%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.61%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 19:15
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.34%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.61%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 19:15
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.34%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.61%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 19:15
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.34%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.00%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 17:10
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -10.99%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 17:10
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.99%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.61%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-21 07:30
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -13.63%E -5.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-20 18:15
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -13.63%E -5.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-20 18:20
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -14.29%E -5.50%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -12.16%E -5.66%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-20 18:15
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -14.29%E -5.50%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.16%E -5.66%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.00%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-20 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 31.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.21%2.74I 36.50%NM 31.51%15.8%2026-07-21 06:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 31.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.21%2.74I 36.50%NM 31.51%15.8%2026-07-21 06:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 34.74%2.32I 43.10%NM 35.34%2.74I 36.50%NM 29.92%22.0%2026-07-21 06:40