Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Östers IF v Varbergs BoIS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-27 17:05 UTC

Score final : Östers IF 3–0 Varbergs BoIS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Östers IF (Local)

Prévision 31.49%3.18cote équitable
EV -0.497%
Avantage -0.157%
Kelly -0.230%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.11%31.41%31.75%32.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.882.853.1638.17%34.72%35.09%31.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Varbergs BoIS (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.50%2.35cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -2.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.30%42.53%42.58%45.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.182.202.2750.00%45.89%45.45%44.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.01%3.84cote équitable
EV -3.76%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.96%26.06%25.67%27.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.513.523.7030.30%28.52%28.41%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Östers IF (Local) : 31.49% ; Varbergs BoIS (Visiteur) : 42.50% ; Match nul : 26.01%. Pour Östers IF (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.18. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.16, pour une espérance de -0.497% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.15%EV -0.497%E -0.157%K -0.230%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.10%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.76%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -0.812%E -0.258%K -0.378%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -0.812%E -0.258%K -0.378%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 16:50
BetAnything🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -0.812%E -0.258%K -0.378%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -2.39%E -0.770%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -15.00%E -7.50%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.30%EV -9.05%E -4.23%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.44%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 16:55
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.06%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 16:48
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 16:55
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-27 17:00
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 16:50
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.96%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.76%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 16:55
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 16:55
1xBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -7.74%E -2.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.63%EV -6.93%E -3.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.51%EV -4.80%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 17:00
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.44%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 16:50
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.44%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 16:50
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -3.76%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 16:50
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -3.76%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 16:55
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 16:55
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-27 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 16:15
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 16:59
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -7.35%E -3.37%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.86%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 16:50
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -5.23%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -5.23%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -5.23%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 16:15
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -5.23%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 16:15
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -5.23%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 16:15
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -5.23%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 16:15
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -5.23%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-27 16:55
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 16:15
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 16:56
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 16:55
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 16:50
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 42.73%EV -13.73%E -6.76%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-27 16:55
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -13.41%E -4.88%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -13.41%E -4.88%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -7.78%E -3.58%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-27 16:15
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -14.98%E -5.55%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-27 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -14.98%E -5.55%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-27 16:40
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 32.92%EV -17.50%E -6.68%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.12%EV -15.00%E -7.50%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-27 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-07-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-07-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-07-27 17:01
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-07-27 17:01