La escuela de los momios

Östers IF v Varbergs BoIS

2026-07-27 17:05 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Östers IF (Local)

Predicción 33.20%3.01momio equitativo
EV -3.73%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -1.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.04%33.23%33.14%35.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.772.802.9040.00%36.15%35.71%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Varbergs BoIS (Visitante)

Predicción 41.03%2.44momio equitativo
EV -0.716%
Ventaja -0.296%
Kelly -0.504%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.40%41.02%40.94%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.252.4247.62%44.64%44.44%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.78%3.88momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -0.540%
Kelly -0.733%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.07%25.75%25.92%27.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.553.553.8030.30%28.19%28.17%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -3.73%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 17:25
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -3.73%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 17:25
BetAnything2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -3.73%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 17:26
Pinnacle2.89I 34.60%NM 32.83%EV -4.06%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.89%EV -4.82%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.28%EV -6.95%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 17:46
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.39%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.39%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 17:09
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.39%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 17:09
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.39%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 17:09
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.39%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 17:09
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -6.38%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 17:10
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -6.38%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 17:10
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -2.05%E -0.540%K -0.733%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 17:05
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 17:05
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 17:10
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 17:09
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 17:09
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 17:09
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 17:09
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 17:09
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 17:10
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 06:09
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -8.51%E -3.82%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 17:09
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -13.84%E -6.59%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 17:40
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 19:25
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 19:26
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 19:25
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 19:25
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.38%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.03%EV -6.87%E -3.03%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.59%EV -6.18%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-20 18:30
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.34%EV -7.71%E -2.77%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.46%EV -6.18%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -2.05%E -0.540%K -0.733%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 18:25
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 08:20
betano_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 08:20
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 20:45
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 03:14
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.07%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 17:09
Coolbet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.18%EV -10.03%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%EV -0.716%E -0.296%K -0.504%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -3.34%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 10:35
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.37%E -3.84%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 14:55
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.37%E -3.84%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 17:09
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.37%E -3.84%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 17:10
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.37%E -3.84%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 17:10
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.37%E -3.84%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 11:59
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -10.37%E -3.84%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 08:05
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -10.37%E -3.84%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -11.79%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 07:35
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -12.69%E -4.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.12%EV -11.79%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-24 17:05
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -13.02%E -4.97%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-20 18:15
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -13.02%E -4.97%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -13.02%E -4.97%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 17:05
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -13.68%E -5.26%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -11.79%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-20 18:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.66%EV -17.00%E -6.80%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.27%EV -13.84%E -6.59%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-23 13:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.45%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%3.1%2026-07-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.15%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.16%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.69%3.8%2026-07-26 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.15%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.16%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.69%3.8%2026-07-26 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.15%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.16%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.69%3.8%2026-07-26 18:35