Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örebro SK v Varbergs BoIS

Kickoff: 2026-08-25 17:00 UTC

Final: Örebro SK 2–1 Varbergs BoIS

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örebro SK (Local)

Prediction 33.32%3.00fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.23%33.17%33.37%34.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.752.9038.46%36.35%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Varbergs BoIS (Visit)

Prediction 39.13%2.56fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.27%39.26%39.11%42.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.332.4946.51%42.83%42.92%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.55%3.63fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.64%27.56%27.52%28.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.303.303.5032.26%30.26%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örebro SK (Local): 33.32%; Varbergs BoIS (Visit): 39.13%; Draw: 27.55%. For Varbergs BoIS (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.49, with an expected value of -2.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.96%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -15.87%E -7.38%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 16:44
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.27%EV -4.03%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.63%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.10%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 16:55
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.58%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 11:14
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 16:49
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.31%EV -9.22%E -3.97%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -4.13%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 04:48
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-25 15:59
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.71%EV -5.70%E -2.01%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.31%EV -2.57%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.98%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -4.96%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 16:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -4.96%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -3.74%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -3.74%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 16:49
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -3.74%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 16:44
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -9.22%E -3.97%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-25 04:50
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -9.22%E -3.97%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-25 04:50
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 10:59
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 10:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 10:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.32%EV -7.36%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.60%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-25 16:55
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 16:53
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 16:54
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 16:44
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 16:49
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 16:44
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:19
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:19
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:19
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:19
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:19
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-25 16:49
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.85%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-25 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.85%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-25 16:44
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-25 10:54
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 16:49
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -11.69%E -4.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-25 16:49
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -12.36%E -4.70%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-25 16:19
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.69%E -4.84%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-25 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -13.36%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -11.85%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-25 16:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -13.36%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -11.85%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-25 16:19
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -13.36%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.59%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-25 16:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-25 16:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-25 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-25 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-25 16:55