Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Örebro SK v Varbergs BoIS

Início: 2026-08-25 17:00 UTC

Final: Örebro SK 2–1 Varbergs BoIS

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Örebro SK (Local)

Previsão 33.32%3.00odd justa
EV -3.36%
Vantagem -1.16%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.23%33.17%33.37%34.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.752.752.9038.46%36.35%36.36%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Varbergs BoIS (Visitante)

Previsão 39.13%2.56odd justa
EV -2.57%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.27%39.26%39.11%42.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.332.332.4946.51%42.83%42.92%40.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.55%3.63odd justa
EV -3.58%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.64%27.56%27.52%28.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.303.303.5032.26%30.26%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Örebro SK (Local): 33.32%; Varbergs BoIS (Visitante): 39.13%; Empate: 27.55%. Para Varbergs BoIS (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.56. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.49, com valor esperado de -2.57%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.96%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -15.87%E -7.38%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 16:44
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.27%EV -4.03%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.63%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.10%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 16:55
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.58%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 11:14
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 16:49
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.31%EV -9.22%E -3.97%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -4.13%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 04:48
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-25 15:59
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.71%EV -5.70%E -2.01%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.31%EV -2.57%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.98%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -4.96%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 16:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -4.96%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -3.74%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -3.74%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 16:49
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -3.74%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 16:44
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -9.22%E -3.97%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-25 04:50
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -9.22%E -3.97%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-25 04:50
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 10:59
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 10:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 10:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.32%EV -7.36%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.60%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-25 16:55
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 16:53
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 16:54
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 16:44
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 16:49
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 16:44
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:19
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:19
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:19
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:19
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:19
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-25 16:49
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.85%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-25 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.85%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-25 16:44
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-25 10:54
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 16:49
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -11.69%E -4.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-25 16:49
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -12.36%E -4.70%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-25 16:19
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.69%E -4.84%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-25 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -13.36%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -11.85%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-25 16:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -13.36%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -11.85%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-25 16:19
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -13.36%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.59%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-25 16:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-25 16:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-25 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-25 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-25 16:55