Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Örebro SK v Varbergs BoIS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-25 17:00 UTC

Score final : Örebro SK 2–1 Varbergs BoIS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Örebro SK (Local)

Prévision 33.32%3.00cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -1.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.23%33.17%33.37%34.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.752.752.9038.46%36.35%36.36%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Varbergs BoIS (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.13%2.56cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.27%39.26%39.11%42.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.332.332.4946.51%42.83%42.92%40.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.55%3.63cote équitable
EV -3.58%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.64%27.56%27.52%28.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.303.303.5032.26%30.26%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Örebro SK (Local) : 33.32% ; Varbergs BoIS (Visiteur) : 39.13% ; Match nul : 27.55%. Pour Varbergs BoIS (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.56. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.49, pour une espérance de -2.57% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.96%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -15.87%E -7.38%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 16:44
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.27%EV -4.03%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.63%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.10%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 16:55
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.58%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 11:14
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 16:49
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.31%EV -9.22%E -3.97%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -4.13%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 04:48
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-25 15:59
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.71%EV -5.70%E -2.01%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.31%EV -2.57%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.98%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -4.96%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 16:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -4.96%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -3.74%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -3.74%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 16:49
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -3.74%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 16:44
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -9.22%E -3.97%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-25 04:50
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -9.22%E -3.97%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-25 04:50
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 10:59
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 10:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 10:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.32%EV -7.36%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.60%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-25 16:55
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 16:53
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 16:54
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 16:44
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 16:49
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 16:44
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.34%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.71%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:19
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:19
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:19
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:19
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:19
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-25 16:49
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.85%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-25 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.85%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-25 16:44
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-25 10:54
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 16:49
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -11.69%E -4.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-25 16:49
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -12.36%E -4.70%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -10.47%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-25 16:19
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.69%E -4.84%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.00%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.09%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-25 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -13.36%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -11.85%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-25 16:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -13.36%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -11.85%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-25 16:19
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -13.36%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.59%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -14.60%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-25 16:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-25 16:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-25 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-25 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-25 16:55