Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örebro SK v Sandvikens IF

Kickoff: 2026-06-22 17:05 UTC

Final: Örebro SK 1–1 Sandvikens IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örebro SK (Local)

Prediction 41.03%2.44fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.641%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.04%41.03%41.01%42.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.252.4047.62%44.07%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sandvikens IF (Visit)

Prediction 32.71%3.06fair odd
EV +1.41%
Edge +0.455%
Kelly +0.672%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.69%32.76%32.76%34.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.753.1038.46%36.07%36.36%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.26%3.81fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.335%
Kelly -0.456%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.98%26.21%26.24%28.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.453.443.7633.33%28.98%29.07%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örebro SK (Local): 41.03%; Sandvikens IF (Visit): 32.71%; Draw: 26.26%. For Sandvikens IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.73%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV +1.41%E +0.455%K +0.672%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -9.40%E -2.72%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 16:30
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.36%EV -7.28%E -3.22%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.70%EV -1.21%E -0.399%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.94%EV -3.10%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -8.10%E -3.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -1.86%E -0.620%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-22 17:00
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.40%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.23%EV -3.17%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.37%EV -1.26%E -0.335%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.94%EV -8.10%E -3.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.96%EV -3.82%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 16:59
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.82%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.01%EV -4.48%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.17%EV -9.66%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -8.92%E -4.02%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.07%EV -5.46%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -7.04%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 16:49
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.79%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 16:59
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.79%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.79%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 16:59
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.79%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-22 16:58
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -6.77%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 16:38
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -11.79%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -6.77%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-22 16:49
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 16:39
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 16:58
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-22 16:39
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-22 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 14:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 14:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-22 16:39
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-22 16:19
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-22 16:49
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-22 16:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-22 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-22 16:50
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:30
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:29
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:30
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:29
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:29
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:29
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -4.41%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-22 14:29
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-22 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-22 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-22 16:40
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-22 16:40
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-22 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -13.31%E -5.02%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -12.03%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-22 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -13.85%E -6.59%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -13.96%E -5.31%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -21.22%E -7.07%K -10.61%G +0.000%19.0%2026-06-22 16:39
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.29%E -5.45%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-22 16:39
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.85%E -6.59%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.38%EV -14.29%E -5.45%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-22 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -11.79%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -14.29%E -5.45%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-22 16:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -14.95%E -5.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-22 16:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.15%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.4%2026-06-22 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-06-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-06-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-06-22 17:00