L’École des cotes

Örebro SK v Sandvikens IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-22 17:05 UTC

Score final : Örebro SK 1–1 Sandvikens IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Örebro SK (Local)

Prévision 41.03%2.44cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.641%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.04%41.03%41.01%42.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.272.252.4047.62%44.07%44.44%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sandvikens IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.71%3.06cote équitable
EV +1.41%
Avantage +0.455%
Kelly +0.672%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.69%32.76%32.76%34.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.772.753.1038.46%36.07%36.36%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.26%3.81cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.335%
Kelly -0.456%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.98%26.21%26.24%28.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.453.443.7633.33%28.98%29.07%26.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.73%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV +1.41%E +0.455%K +0.672%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -9.40%E -2.72%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 16:30
BetUS2.26I 44.25%NM 42.36%EV -7.28%E -3.22%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.70%EV -1.21%E -0.399%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.94%EV -3.10%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 16:59
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -8.10%E -3.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -1.86%E -0.620%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-22 17:00
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.40%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.23%EV -3.17%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.37%EV -1.26%E -0.335%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 16:50
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.94%EV -8.10%E -3.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.96%EV -3.82%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 16:59
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.82%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.01%EV -4.48%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.17%EV -9.66%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 17:00
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -8.92%E -4.02%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.07%EV -5.46%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -7.04%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 16:49
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.79%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 16:59
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.79%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 17:00
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.79%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 16:59
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.79%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-22 16:58
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -6.77%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 16:38
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -11.79%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -6.77%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-22 16:49
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 16:39
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 16:58
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-22 16:39
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-22 16:59
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 14:30
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 14:29
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 14:29
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-22 16:39
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-22 16:19
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-22 16:49
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-22 16:49
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-22 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-22 16:50
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:30
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:29
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:29
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:30
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:29
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:29
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:29
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -4.41%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-22 14:29
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-22 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-22 16:20
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-22 16:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-22 16:40
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-22 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -13.31%E -5.02%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -12.03%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-22 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -13.85%E -6.59%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -13.96%E -5.31%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -21.22%E -7.07%K -10.61%G +0.000%19.0%2026-06-22 16:39
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.29%E -5.45%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-22 16:39
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.85%E -6.59%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.38%EV -14.29%E -5.45%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-22 16:50
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -11.79%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -14.29%E -5.45%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-22 16:39
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -14.95%E -5.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-22 16:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.15%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.4%2026-06-22 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-06-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-06-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-06-22 17:00