La escuela de los momios

Örebro SK v Sandvikens IF

Inicio: 2026-06-22 17:05 UTC

Final: Örebro SK 1–1 Sandvikens IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Örebro SK (Local)

Predicción 41.03%2.44momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.641%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.04%41.03%41.01%42.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.272.252.4047.62%44.07%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sandvikens IF (Visitante)

Predicción 32.71%3.06momio equitativo
EV +1.41%
Ventaja +0.455%
Kelly +0.672%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.69%32.76%32.76%34.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.772.753.1038.46%36.07%36.36%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.26%3.81momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.335%
Kelly -0.456%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.98%26.21%26.24%28.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.443.7633.33%28.98%29.07%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.73%EV -6.46%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV +1.41%E +0.455%K +0.672%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -9.40%E -2.72%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 16:30
BetUS2.26I 44.25%NM 42.36%EV -7.28%E -3.22%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.70%EV -1.21%E -0.399%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.94%EV -3.10%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 16:59
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -8.10%E -3.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -1.86%E -0.620%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-22 17:00
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.40%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.23%EV -3.17%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.37%EV -1.26%E -0.335%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 16:50
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.94%EV -8.10%E -3.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.96%EV -3.82%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 16:59
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.82%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.01%EV -4.48%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.17%EV -9.66%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 17:00
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -8.92%E -4.02%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.07%EV -5.46%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -7.04%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 16:49
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.79%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 16:59
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.79%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 17:00
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.79%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 16:59
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.79%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-22 16:58
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -6.77%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 16:38
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -11.79%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -6.77%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-22 16:49
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 16:39
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 16:58
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-22 16:39
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-22 16:59
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 14:30
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 14:29
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 14:29
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-22 16:39
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-22 16:19
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-22 16:49
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-22 16:49
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-22 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.04%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-22 16:50
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:30
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:29
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:29
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:30
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:29
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:29
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 14:29
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -4.41%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-22 14:29
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-22 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-22 16:20
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-22 16:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-22 16:40
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.74%E -4.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-22 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -13.31%E -5.02%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -12.03%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-22 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -13.85%E -6.59%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -13.96%E -5.31%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -21.22%E -7.07%K -10.61%G +0.000%19.0%2026-06-22 16:39
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.29%E -5.45%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-22 16:39
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.85%E -6.59%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.38%EV -14.29%E -5.45%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-22 16:50
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -11.79%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -14.29%E -5.45%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-22 16:39
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -14.95%E -5.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-22 16:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.15%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.4%2026-06-22 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-06-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-06-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-06-22 17:00