Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norrby IF v Östersunds FK

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 15:00 UTC

Final: Norrby IF 2–2 Östersunds FK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norrby IF (Local)

Prediction 35.27%2.84fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.446%
Kelly -0.694%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.26%35.20%35.16%36.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.632.602.8040.82%37.97%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Östersunds FK (Visit)

Prediction 37.31%2.68fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.427%
Kelly -0.686%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.81%37.39%37.39%39.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.442.452.6543.86%41.04%40.82%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.42%3.65fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.31%27.42%27.45%28.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.353.5032.26%30.01%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norrby IF (Local): 35.27%; Östersunds FK (Visit): 37.31%; Draw: 27.42%. For Östersunds FK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.93%EV -1.25%E -0.446%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.93%EV -8.97%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.25%E -0.446%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -11.21%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.25%E -0.446%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -11.21%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.25%E -0.446%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -11.21%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.25%E -0.446%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -11.21%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:25
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:26
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:25
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:24
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.26%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -13.44%E -5.79%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -14.94%E -6.55%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 14:26
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.48%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -5.98%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 14:40
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.48%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -5.98%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.16%EV -3.00%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.16%EV -3.00%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:45
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:45
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 14:33
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -14.19%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.13%EV -6.89%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.13%EV -1.51%E -0.570%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -5.66%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 14:45
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -1.13%E -0.427%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:45
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:46
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:50
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:45
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:50
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.99%E -4.83%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.99%E -4.83%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.99%E -4.83%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 14:35
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.99%E -4.83%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.89%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -8.66%E -3.34%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.33%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -8.95%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:55
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.92%EV -9.01%E -3.49%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -8.41%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:55
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 14:45
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 14:45
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.87%E -3.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 14:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 14:45
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 14:45
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 14:45
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 14:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.21%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 14:45
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.19%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-26 14:40
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -13.59%E -5.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -14.19%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-26 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-07-26 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-07-26 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-07-26 14:51
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-07-26 14:51