Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Norrby IF v Östersunds FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-26 15:00 UTC

Score final : Norrby IF 2–2 Östersunds FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Norrby IF (Local)

Prévision 35.27%2.84cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.446%
Kelly -0.694%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.26%35.20%35.16%36.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.632.602.8040.82%37.97%38.46%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Östersunds FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.31%2.68cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.427%
Kelly -0.686%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.81%37.39%37.39%39.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.282.442.452.6543.86%41.04%40.82%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.42%3.65cote équitable
EV -4.02%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.31%27.42%27.45%28.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.353.5032.26%30.01%29.85%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Norrby IF (Local) : 35.27% ; Östersunds FK (Visiteur) : 37.31% ; Match nul : 27.42%. Pour Östersunds FK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.68. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.65, pour une espérance de -1.13% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.93%EV -1.25%E -0.446%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.93%EV -8.97%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.25%E -0.446%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -11.21%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.25%E -0.446%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -11.21%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.25%E -0.446%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -11.21%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.25%E -0.446%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -11.21%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:25
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:26
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:25
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:24
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.26%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -13.44%E -5.79%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -14.94%E -6.55%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 14:26
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.48%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -5.98%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 14:40
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.48%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -5.98%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.16%EV -3.00%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.16%EV -3.00%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:45
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:45
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 14:33
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -14.19%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.13%EV -6.89%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.13%EV -1.51%E -0.570%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -5.66%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 14:45
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -1.13%E -0.427%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:45
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:46
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:50
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:45
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:50
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.99%E -4.83%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.99%E -4.83%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.99%E -4.83%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 14:35
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.99%E -4.83%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.89%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -8.66%E -3.34%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.33%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -8.95%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:55
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.92%EV -9.01%E -3.49%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -8.41%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:55
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 14:45
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 14:45
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.87%E -3.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 14:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 14:45
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 14:45
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 14:45
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 14:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.21%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 14:45
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.19%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-26 14:40
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -13.59%E -5.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -14.19%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-26 14:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-07-26 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-07-26 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-07-26 14:51
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-07-26 14:51