Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Norrby IF v Östersunds FK

Início: 2026-07-26 15:00 UTC

Final: Norrby IF 2–2 Östersunds FK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Norrby IF (Local)

Previsão 35.27%2.84odd justa
EV -1.25%
Vantagem -0.446%
Kelly -0.694%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.26%35.20%35.16%36.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.632.602.8040.82%37.97%38.46%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Östersunds FK (Visitante)

Previsão 37.31%2.68odd justa
EV -1.13%
Vantagem -0.427%
Kelly -0.686%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.81%37.39%37.39%39.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.282.442.452.6543.86%41.04%40.82%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.42%3.65odd justa
EV -4.02%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -1.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.31%27.42%27.45%28.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.333.353.5032.26%30.01%29.85%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Norrby IF (Local): 35.27%; Östersunds FK (Visitante): 37.31%; Empate: 27.42%. Para Östersunds FK (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.68. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.65, com valor esperado de -1.13%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.93%EV -1.25%E -0.446%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.93%EV -8.97%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.25%E -0.446%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -11.21%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.25%E -0.446%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -11.21%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.25%E -0.446%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -11.21%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.25%E -0.446%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -11.21%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:25
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:26
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:25
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -13.07%E -5.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:24
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.26%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -13.44%E -5.79%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -14.94%E -6.55%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 14:26
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.48%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -5.98%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 14:40
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.48%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -5.98%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.16%EV -3.00%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.16%EV -3.00%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:45
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:45
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 14:33
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -14.19%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.13%EV -6.89%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.13%EV -1.51%E -0.570%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -5.66%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 14:45
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -1.13%E -0.427%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:45
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:46
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:50
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:45
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:50
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.99%E -4.83%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.99%E -4.83%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.99%E -4.83%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 14:35
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.99%E -4.83%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.89%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -8.66%E -3.34%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.33%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -8.95%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:55
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.92%EV -9.01%E -3.49%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -8.41%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:55
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 14:45
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 14:45
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.87%E -3.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 14:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 14:45
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 14:45
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 14:45
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 14:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.21%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 14:45
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.19%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-26 14:40
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -13.59%E -5.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -14.19%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-26 14:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-07-26 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-07-26 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-07-26 14:51
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-07-26 14:51