Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norrby IF v Örebro SK

Kickoff: 2026-08-10 17:00 UTC

Final: Norrby IF 3–1 Örebro SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norrby IF (Local)

Prediction 42.13%2.37fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -3.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%42.25%42.09%45.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.182.202.2750.76%45.81%45.45%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örebro SK (Visit)

Prediction 30.66%3.26fair odd
EV +0.576%
Edge +0.176%
Kelly +0.253%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.26%30.53%30.67%31.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.972.953.2836.36%33.64%33.90%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.21%3.68fair odd
EV -4.77%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.67%27.22%27.24%28.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.403.5032.26%29.78%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norrby IF (Local): 42.13%; Örebro SK (Visit): 30.66%; Draw: 27.21%. For Örebro SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.576%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.81%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.11%EV +0.576%E +0.176%K +0.253%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -6.48%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -6.48%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 16:50
BetAnything🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -6.48%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.90%EV -17.01%E -8.63%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 16:25
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.72%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.72%EV -8.58%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.68%EV -8.58%E -3.96%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -4.33%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 16:55
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.00%EV -4.37%E -1.93%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 16:25
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 16:30
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 16:39
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 16:40
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 16:25
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 16:34
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 16:34
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-10 16:54
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-10 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-10 16:45
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-10 16:40
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.38%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.62%E -2.89%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 16:24
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.38%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.62%E -2.89%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-10 16:35
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 16:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.65%E -5.05%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-10 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.65%E -5.05%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-10 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.65%E -5.05%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-10 16:40
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.65%E -5.05%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-10 16:39
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -13.64%E -6.65%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-10 16:40
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-10 16:25
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 16:25
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -12.61%E -4.42%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-10 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-10 16:25
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-10 16:25
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -9.85%E -4.60%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-10 16:25
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -13.64%E -6.65%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-10 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-10 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-10 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-08-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-08-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-08-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-08-10 16:55