The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Norrby IF v Örebro SK

2026-08-10 17:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norrby IF (Local)

Prediction 40.54%2.47fair odd
EV -5.95%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -4.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.54%40.36%40.54%40.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.252.3246.51%44.33%44.44%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örebro SK (Visit)

Prediction 31.96%3.13fair odd
EV -6.69%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.77%32.01%31.96%32.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.842.832.9237.04%35.25%35.40%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.51%3.64fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%27.63%27.51%28.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.303.5032.26%30.50%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Norrby IF (Local): 40.54%; Örebro SK (Visit): 31.96%; Draw: 27.51%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -3.73%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.16%EV -5.95%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.02%EV -7.01%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 09:24
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 08:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.97%E -2.77%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 08:50
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.28%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.06%EV -7.65%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 09:19
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -7.57%E -3.32%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -6.69%E -2.29%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 08:29
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -7.57%E -3.32%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -6.69%E -2.29%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 08:29
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -8.79%E -3.91%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 08:29
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.79%E -3.91%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.52%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-03 09:19
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.79%E -3.91%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.52%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-03 09:19
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.79%E -3.91%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.52%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-03 09:19
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.79%E -3.91%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.52%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-03 09:25
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.52%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-03 08:33
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -12.12%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-03 08:29
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.16%EV -12.84%E -5.97%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -13.72%E -5.08%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-03 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.