Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Norrby IF v Örebro SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-10 17:00 UTC

Score final : Norrby IF 3–1 Örebro SK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Norrby IF (Local)

Prévision 42.13%2.37cote équitable
EV -4.37%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -3.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.51%42.25%42.09%45.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.972.182.202.2750.76%45.81%45.45%44.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Örebro SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.66%3.26cote équitable
EV +0.576%
Avantage +0.176%
Kelly +0.253%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.26%30.53%30.67%31.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.972.953.2836.36%33.64%33.90%30.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.21%3.68cote équitable
EV -4.77%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -1.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.67%27.22%27.24%28.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.363.403.5032.26%29.78%29.41%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Norrby IF (Local) : 42.13% ; Örebro SK (Visiteur) : 30.66% ; Match nul : 27.21%. Pour Örebro SK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.26. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.28, soit une espérance positive de +0.576%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.81%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.11%EV +0.576%E +0.176%K +0.253%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -6.48%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -6.48%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 16:50
BetAnything🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -6.48%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.90%EV -17.01%E -8.63%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 16:25
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.72%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.72%EV -8.58%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.68%EV -8.58%E -3.96%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -4.33%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 16:55
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.00%EV -4.37%E -1.93%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 16:25
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 16:30
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 16:39
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 16:40
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 16:25
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 16:34
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 16:34
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-10 16:54
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-10 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-10 16:45
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-10 16:40
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.38%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.62%E -2.89%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 16:24
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.38%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.62%E -2.89%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-10 16:35
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 16:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.65%E -5.05%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-10 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.65%E -5.05%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-10 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.65%E -5.05%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-10 16:40
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.65%E -5.05%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-10 16:39
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -13.64%E -6.65%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-10 16:40
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-10 16:25
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 16:25
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -12.61%E -4.42%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-10 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-10 16:25
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-10 16:25
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -9.85%E -4.60%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-10 16:25
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -13.64%E -6.65%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-10 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-10 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-10 16:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-08-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-08-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-08-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-08-10 16:55