Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Norrby IF v Örebro SK

Início: 2026-08-10 17:00 UTC

Final: Norrby IF 3–1 Örebro SK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Norrby IF (Local)

Previsão 42.13%2.37odd justa
EV -4.37%
Vantagem -1.93%
Kelly -3.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.51%42.25%42.09%45.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.972.182.202.2750.76%45.81%45.45%44.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Örebro SK (Visitante)

Previsão 30.66%3.26odd justa
EV +0.576%
Vantagem +0.176%
Kelly +0.253%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.26%30.53%30.67%31.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.972.953.2836.36%33.64%33.90%30.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.21%3.68odd justa
EV -4.77%
Vantagem -1.36%
Kelly -1.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.67%27.22%27.24%28.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.363.403.5032.26%29.78%29.41%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Norrby IF (Local): 42.13%; Örebro SK (Visitante): 30.66%; Empate: 27.21%. Para Örebro SK (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.26. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.28, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.576%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.81%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.11%EV +0.576%E +0.176%K +0.253%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -6.48%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -6.48%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 16:50
BetAnything🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -6.48%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.90%EV -17.01%E -8.63%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -1.88%E -0.587%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 16:25
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.72%EV -8.16%E -3.74%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.72%EV -8.58%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.68%EV -8.58%E -3.96%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -4.33%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 16:55
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.00%EV -4.37%E -1.93%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 16:25
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 16:30
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 16:39
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 16:40
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 16:25
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 16:34
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 16:34
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-10 16:54
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-10 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-10 16:45
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-10 16:40
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.38%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.62%E -2.89%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 16:24
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.38%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.62%E -2.89%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-10 16:35
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 16:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.65%E -5.05%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-10 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.65%E -5.05%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-10 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.65%E -5.05%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-10 16:40
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.65%E -5.05%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-10 16:39
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -13.64%E -6.65%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-10 16:40
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-10 16:25
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 16:25
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -12.61%E -4.42%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-10 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-10 16:25
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.43%E -4.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-10 16:25
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -9.85%E -4.60%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-10 16:25
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -13.64%E -6.65%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-10 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-10 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-10 16:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-08-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-08-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-08-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-08-10 16:55