The School of Odds

Nordic United FC v Örebro SK

2026-07-19 13:00 — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Nordic United FC (Local)

Odds
1.6759.88%Min
1.7457.42%Mean
1.7457.47%Median
1.8653.76%Max
Consensus probabilities
50.70%1.972Min
53.46%1.871Max
52.43%1.907Mean
52.28%1.913Median
52.28%1.913IQM
52.31%1.912Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.86 under the IQM model: 52.28%

EV -2.75%Edge -1.48%Kelly -3.20%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Örebro SK (Visit)

Odds
3.6027.78%Min
4.0124.95%Mean
4.0524.69%Median
4.3023.26%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.55%4.640Min
23.94%4.176Max
22.48%4.447Mean
22.47%4.450Median
22.47%4.450IQM
22.55%4.434Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.30 under the IQM model: 22.47%

EV -3.37%Edge -0.785%Kelly -1.02%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.4029.41%Min
3.6527.39%Mean
3.6727.29%Median
3.9025.64%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.85%4.193Min
25.70%3.892Max
25.08%3.987Mean
25.25%3.961Median
25.25%3.961IQM
25.14%3.978Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.90 under the IQM model: 25.25%

EV -1.54%Edge -0.396%Kelly -0.532%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

BookmakerNordic United FC (Local) ▼Örebro SK (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.86I 53.76% NM 51.12%EV -2.75% E -1.48% K -3.20% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 23.19%EV -7.87% E -1.92% K -2.54% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.70%EV -6.59% E -1.78% K -2.44% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-02 12:14
Betsson1.80I 55.56% NM 51.90%EV -5.89% E -3.27% K -7.36% G +0.000%4.15I 24.10% NM 22.51%EV -6.74% E -1.63% K -2.14% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 25.59%EV -7.85% E -2.15% K -2.96% G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:10
NordicBet1.80I 55.56% NM 51.90%EV -5.89% E -3.27% K -7.36% G +0.000%4.15I 24.10% NM 22.51%EV -6.74% E -1.63% K -2.14% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 25.59%EV -7.85% E -2.15% K -2.96% G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:09
1xBet1.76I 56.82% NM 52.95%EV -7.98% E -4.53% K -10.50% G +0.000%4.29I 23.31% NM 21.72%EV -3.60% E -0.839% K -1.09% G +0.000%3.68I 27.17% NM 25.32%EV -7.10% E -1.93% K -2.65% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 03:05
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14% NM 51.50%EV -8.50% E -4.86% K -11.34% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.11%EV -12.36% E -3.17% K -4.26% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.39%EV -10.38% E -2.92% K -4.07% G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-02 10:20
FanDuel1.74I 57.47% NM 53.46%EV -9.03% E -5.19% K -12.20% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.69%EV -7.87% E -1.92% K -2.54% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.85%EV -1.54% E -0.396% K -0.532% G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 13:19
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47% NM 53.26%EV -9.03% E -5.19% K -12.20% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.55%EV -3.37% E -0.785% K -1.02% G +0.000%3.68I 27.17% NM 25.18%EV -7.10% E -1.93% K -2.65% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 18:10
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82% NM 53.24%EV -11.12% E -6.54% K -15.88% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.63%EV -10.11% E -2.53% K -3.37% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.13%EV -5.33% E -1.42% K -1.94% G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 13:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82% NM 53.24%EV -11.12% E -6.54% K -15.88% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.63%EV -10.11% E -2.53% K -3.37% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.13%EV -5.33% E -1.42% K -1.94% G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 13:39
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82% NM 50.70%EV -11.12% E -6.54% K -15.88% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 23.94%EV -19.10% E -5.31% K -7.35% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 25.35%EV -14.17% E -4.17% K -5.90% G +0.000%16.0%2026-06-30 21:29
SportsBet1.68I 59.52% NM 52.70%EV -12.16% E -7.24% K -17.89% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 22.70%EV -12.36% E -3.17% K -4.26% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 24.59%EV -9.12% E -2.53% K -3.51% G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-30 13:09
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88% NM 51.52%EV -12.69% E -7.60% K -18.94% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 23.90%EV -19.10% E -5.31% K -7.35% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.58%EV -11.64% E -3.33% K -4.66% G +0.000%16.2%2026-06-30 13:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth