La escuela de los momios

Nordic United FC v Örebro SK

Inicio: 2026-07-19 13:00 UTC

Final: Nordic United FC 2–0 Örebro SK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Nordic United FC (Local)

Predicción 43.14%2.32momio equitativo
EV -2.95%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.23%43.55%42.90%47.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.922.092.152.2552.08%47.80%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Örebro SK (Visitante)

Predicción 30.01%3.33momio equitativo
EV +5.05%
Ventaja +1.44%
Kelly +2.02%
Crecimiento +0.102%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.77%29.71%30.17%31.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.153.103.5034.72%31.72%32.26%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.85%3.72momio equitativo
EV +0.687%
Ventaja +0.183%
Kelly +0.250%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.18%26.75%26.93%28.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.423.453.7532.26%29.20%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.73%E -6.86%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +5.05%E +1.44%K +2.02%G +0.102%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.73%E -6.86%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +5.05%E +1.44%K +2.02%G +0.102%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 12:55
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.73%E -6.86%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +5.05%E +1.44%K +2.02%G +0.102%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 12:55
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.73%E -6.86%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +5.05%E +1.44%K +2.02%G +0.102%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 12:55
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -11.57%E -5.65%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV +0.687%E +0.183%K +0.250%G +0.002%4.9%2026-07-19 12:55
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -15.45%E -7.88%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 12:55
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -15.89%E -8.15%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -15.89%E -8.15%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -15.89%E -8.15%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -15.89%E -8.15%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:55
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -15.89%E -8.15%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:55
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -15.89%E -8.15%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:54
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 47.06%EV -16.32%E -8.41%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 12:55
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.78%EV -17.18%E -8.95%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV +0.549%E +0.164%K +0.234%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.17%EV -4.67%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.72%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.49%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 12:45
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -9.42%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.95%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 12:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -15.89%E -8.15%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -3.95%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 12:50
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.90%EV -6.83%E -3.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.51%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -9.78%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 12:55
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 12:50
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.24%E -1.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 12:55
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.24%E -1.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 12:55
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.24%E -1.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 12:50
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 12:50
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 12:50
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 12:50
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 12:55
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-19 12:45
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.59%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.88%EV -9.06%E -2.99%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 12:50
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 12:49
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 12:54
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.57%E -5.65%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.57%E -5.65%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 12:45
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.77%E -5.41%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-19 12:54
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.77%E -5.41%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-19 12:55
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.77%E -5.41%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-19 12:55
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.77%E -5.41%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-19 12:55
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.57%E -5.65%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-19 12:45
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -11.46%E -3.88%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 12:55
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.53%EV -8.55%E -4.03%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.46%E -3.88%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-19 12:55
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -13.73%E -6.86%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -11.46%E -3.88%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-19 12:45
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.96%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 12:55
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.96%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-19 12:55
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -13.56%E -4.71%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-19 12:55
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -13.73%E -6.86%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -13.56%E -4.71%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-19 12:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-07-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-07-19 12:55
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-07-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-07-19 12:55