L’École des cotes

Nordic United FC v Örebro SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-19 13:00 UTC

Score final : Nordic United FC 2–0 Örebro SK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Nordic United FC (Local)

Prévision 43.14%2.32cote équitable
EV -2.95%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.23%43.55%42.90%47.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.922.092.152.2552.08%47.80%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Örebro SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.01%3.33cote équitable
EV +5.05%
Avantage +1.44%
Kelly +2.02%
Croissance +0.102%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.77%29.71%30.17%31.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.153.103.5034.72%31.72%32.26%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.85%3.72cote équitable
EV +0.687%
Avantage +0.183%
Kelly +0.250%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.18%26.75%26.93%28.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.423.453.7532.26%29.20%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.73%E -6.86%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +5.05%E +1.44%K +2.02%G +0.102%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.73%E -6.86%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +5.05%E +1.44%K +2.02%G +0.102%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 12:55
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.73%E -6.86%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +5.05%E +1.44%K +2.02%G +0.102%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 12:55
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.73%E -6.86%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +5.05%E +1.44%K +2.02%G +0.102%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 12:55
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -11.57%E -5.65%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV +0.687%E +0.183%K +0.250%G +0.002%4.9%2026-07-19 12:55
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -15.45%E -7.88%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 12:55
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -15.89%E -8.15%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -15.89%E -8.15%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -15.89%E -8.15%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -15.89%E -8.15%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:55
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -15.89%E -8.15%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:55
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -15.89%E -8.15%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:54
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 47.06%EV -16.32%E -8.41%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV +2.05%E +0.603%K +0.854%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 12:55
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.78%EV -17.18%E -8.95%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV +0.549%E +0.164%K +0.234%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.17%EV -4.67%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.72%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.49%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 12:45
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -9.42%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.95%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 12:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -15.89%E -8.15%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -3.95%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 12:50
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.90%EV -6.83%E -3.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.51%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -9.78%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 12:55
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 12:50
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.24%E -1.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 12:55
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.24%E -1.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 12:55
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.24%E -1.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 12:50
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 12:50
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 12:50
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 12:50
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 12:55
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-19 12:45
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.59%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.88%EV -9.06%E -2.99%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 12:50
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 12:49
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 12:54
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 12:55
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.57%E -5.65%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.57%E -5.65%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 12:45
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.77%E -5.41%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-19 12:54
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.77%E -5.41%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-19 12:55
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.77%E -5.41%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-19 12:55
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.77%E -5.41%K -7.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-19 12:55
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.57%E -5.65%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-19 12:45
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -11.46%E -3.88%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 12:55
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.53%EV -8.55%E -4.03%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.46%E -3.88%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-19 12:55
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -13.73%E -6.86%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -11.46%E -3.88%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-19 12:45
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.96%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 12:55
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.96%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-19 12:55
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -13.56%E -4.71%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-19 12:55
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -13.73%E -6.86%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -13.56%E -4.71%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-19 12:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-07-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-07-19 12:55
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-07-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-07-19 12:55