Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ljungskile SK v Norrby IF

2026-09-09 17:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Prediction 48.28%2.07fair odd
EV -6.33%
Edge -3.27%
Kelly -6.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.26%48.28%48.28%48.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.891.871.9455.25%52.99%53.48%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norrby IF (Visit)

Prediction 26.04%3.84fair odd
EV -4.94%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.78%26.04%26.04%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.513.503.6529.85%28.49%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.67%3.89fair odd
EV -5.00%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.44%25.67%25.67%25.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.563.553.7029.41%28.05%28.17%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ljungskile SK (Local): 48.28%; Norrby IF (Visit): 26.04%; Draw: 25.67%. For Norrby IF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.65, with an expected value of -4.94%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.67%EV -6.33%E -3.27%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.65%EV -9.63%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-03 07:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -6.82%E -3.53%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.94%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 06:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -6.82%E -3.53%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.94%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 06:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -6.82%E -3.53%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.94%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 06:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -6.82%E -3.53%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.94%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 06:50
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.30%E -3.80%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 06:50
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.30%E -3.80%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 06:50
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -7.78%E -4.07%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.75%E -3.81%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 06:50
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.71%E -5.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 06:45
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.71%E -5.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 06:45
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.71%E -5.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 06:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.71%E -5.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 06:45
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.71%E -5.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 06:45
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.71%E -5.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 06:50
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -11.65%E -6.36%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-03 06:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.43%EV -12.61%E -6.97%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 06:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.43%EV -12.61%E -6.97%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.45%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 06:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.