Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ljungskile SK v Norrby IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-09 17:00 UTC

Score final : Ljungskile SK 2–1 Norrby IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Prévision 46.38%2.16cote équitable
EV -4.93%
Avantage -2.40%
Kelly -4.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.11%46.53%46.38%48.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.851.971.982.0554.05%50.69%50.63%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Norrby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.40%3.52cote équitable
EV +2.25%
Avantage +0.626%
Kelly +0.867%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.44%28.23%28.45%29.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.243.273.6033.33%30.86%30.53%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.22%3.97cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.423%
Kelly -0.569%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.24%25.24%25.17%26.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.583.533.9029.41%27.97%28.33%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ljungskile SK (Local) : 46.38% ; Norrby IF (Visiteur) : 28.40% ; Match nul : 25.22%. Pour Norrby IF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.52. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.60, soit une espérance positive de +2.25%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -7.71%E -3.87%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV +2.25%E +0.626%K +0.867%G +0.020%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 09:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -8.64%E -4.38%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.01%E -0.581%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -8.64%E -4.38%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.01%E -0.581%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -8.64%E -4.38%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.01%E -0.581%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:36
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -8.64%E -4.38%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.01%E -0.581%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:36
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -14.20%E -7.68%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -3.43%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.35%EV -6.78%E -3.37%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.24%EV -4.28%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -1.65%E -0.423%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:36
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.87%EV -5.39%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.85%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -10.22%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 16:56
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -7.71%E -3.87%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -5.70%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 14:15
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.93%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 10:34
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.93%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 07:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.39%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:56
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.39%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:55
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.39%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:56
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.93%EV -5.39%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.93%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 09:30
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.32%E -3.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 09:30
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.32%E -3.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 09:30
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:55
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -10.49%E -5.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:36
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -10.49%E -5.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:36
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -10.49%E -5.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -10.49%E -5.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:35
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -10.49%E -5.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:36
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -10.49%E -5.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:35
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:35
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.17%E -4.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:21
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.96%EV -12.35%E -6.53%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 16:35
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:25
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -13.27%E -7.10%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 16:36
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -13.27%E -7.10%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 16:35
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.57%EV -8.17%E -4.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.53%E -3.34%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 15:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 13:35
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 13:35
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 13:35
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 07:19
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 14:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 10:30
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 09:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 09:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 09:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 09:49
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.56%EV -10.49%E -5.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-09 14:06
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.67%EV -13.27%E -7.10%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-09 16:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-09-09 16:36
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-09-09 16:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-09-09 16:36