Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ljungskile SK v Norrby IF

Início: 2026-09-09 17:00 UTC

Final: Ljungskile SK 2–1 Norrby IF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Previsão 46.38%2.16odd justa
EV -4.93%
Vantagem -2.40%
Kelly -4.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.11%46.53%46.38%48.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.971.982.0554.05%50.69%50.63%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Norrby IF (Visitante)

Previsão 28.40%3.52odd justa
EV +2.25%
Vantagem +0.626%
Kelly +0.867%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.44%28.23%28.45%29.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.243.273.6033.33%30.86%30.53%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.22%3.97odd justa
EV -1.65%
Vantagem -0.423%
Kelly -0.569%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.24%25.24%25.17%26.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.583.533.9029.41%27.97%28.33%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ljungskile SK (Local): 46.38%; Norrby IF (Visitante): 28.40%; Empate: 25.22%. Para Norrby IF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.52. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.25%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -7.71%E -3.87%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV +2.25%E +0.626%K +0.867%G +0.020%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 09:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -8.64%E -4.38%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.01%E -0.581%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -8.64%E -4.38%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.01%E -0.581%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -8.64%E -4.38%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.01%E -0.581%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:36
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -8.64%E -4.38%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.01%E -0.581%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:36
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -14.20%E -7.68%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -3.43%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.35%EV -6.78%E -3.37%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.24%EV -4.28%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -1.65%E -0.423%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:36
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.87%EV -5.39%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.85%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -10.22%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 16:56
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -7.71%E -3.87%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -5.70%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 14:15
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.93%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 10:34
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.93%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 07:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.39%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:56
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.39%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:55
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.39%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:56
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.93%EV -5.39%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.93%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 09:30
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.32%E -3.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 09:30
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.32%E -3.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 09:30
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:55
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -10.49%E -5.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:36
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -10.49%E -5.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:36
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -10.49%E -5.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -10.49%E -5.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:35
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -10.49%E -5.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:36
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -10.49%E -5.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:35
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:35
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.17%E -4.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:21
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.96%EV -12.35%E -6.53%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 16:35
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:25
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -13.27%E -7.10%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 16:36
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -13.27%E -7.10%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 16:35
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.57%EV -8.17%E -4.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.53%E -3.34%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 15:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 13:35
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 13:35
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 13:35
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 07:19
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 14:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 10:30
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 09:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 09:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 09:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 09:49
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.56%EV -10.49%E -5.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-09 14:06
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.67%EV -13.27%E -7.10%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-09 16:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-09-09 16:36
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-09-09 16:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-09-09 16:36