Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Landskrona BoIS v Falkenbergs FF

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 13:00 UTC

Final: Landskrona BoIS 1–2 Falkenbergs FF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Landskrona BoIS (Local)

Prediction 39.30%2.54fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.78%39.53%39.24%42.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.282.302.4347.17%43.83%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Falkenbergs FF (Visit)

Prediction 33.77%2.96fair odd
EV +3.00%
Edge +0.983%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.57%33.46%33.97%35.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.802.753.0540.00%35.73%36.36%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.93%3.71fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -0.851%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%27.01%26.79%28.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.413.6033.33%29.38%29.33%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Landskrona BoIS (Local): 39.30%; Falkenbergs FF (Visit): 33.77%; Draw: 26.93%. For Falkenbergs FF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.22%EV -11.17%E -4.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV +3.00%E +0.983%K +1.46%G +0.044%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.06%E -0.851%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -13.53%E -6.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV +3.00%E +0.983%K +1.46%G +0.044%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -13.53%E -6.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV +3.00%E +0.983%K +1.46%G +0.044%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -13.53%E -6.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV +3.00%E +0.983%K +1.46%G +0.044%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -13.53%E -6.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV +3.00%E +0.983%K +1.46%G +0.044%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -14.32%E -6.57%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV +3.00%E +0.983%K +1.46%G +0.044%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 10:14
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -14.32%E -6.57%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV +3.00%E +0.983%K +1.46%G +0.044%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 10:14
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -15.10%E -6.99%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +1.31%E +0.436%K +0.654%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:20
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -15.10%E -6.99%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +1.31%E +0.436%K +0.654%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -15.10%E -6.99%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +1.31%E +0.436%K +0.654%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:15
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -15.10%E -6.99%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +1.31%E +0.436%K +0.654%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:15
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -15.10%E -6.99%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +1.31%E +0.436%K +0.654%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:15
LeoVegas🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -15.10%E -6.99%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +1.31%E +0.436%K +0.654%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:15
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -15.89%E -7.43%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV +1.31%E +0.436%K +0.654%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -16.68%E -7.87%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -0.380%E -0.129%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 10:15
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.30%EV -4.49%E -1.85%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.70%EV -1.39%E -0.477%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.00%EV -8.18%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 03:05
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -11.68%E -3.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 10:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.46%E -2.71%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.77%EV -4.43%E -1.57%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -11.68%E -3.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 10:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.05%EV -8.03%E -3.43%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.40%EV -4.77%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -13.83%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 04:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.05%EV -8.03%E -3.43%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.40%EV -4.77%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -13.83%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 04:25
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -5.45%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 04:05
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -5.45%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 08:35
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.64%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.06%E -0.851%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 13:09
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.46%E -2.71%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 11:59
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.46%E -2.71%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 04:20
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -7.64%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -13.83%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 11:50
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -8.15%E -3.00%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 17:35
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -8.15%E -3.00%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 13:05
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.64%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 09:18
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.64%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 08:04
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.64%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 08:04
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-08 17:24
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-08 17:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-08 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-08 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.64%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.51%E -3.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 01:49
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.51%E -3.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-09 13:05
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -11.52%E -4.40%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-09 13:00
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-09 13:01
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.57%E -5.14%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-09 13:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -13.89%E -5.45%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 09:30
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.53%E -6.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -15.58%E -6.23%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -11.14%E -3.38%K -4.84%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-12 10:05
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -13.53%E -6.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.42%EV -15.58%E -6.23%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-07 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -13.53%E -6.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -15.58%E -6.23%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -19.22%E -6.41%K -9.61%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-11 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.41%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-04-12 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.60%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-04-12 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.60%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-04-12 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.60%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-04-12 11:50